July 10, 2008

Some selected news from bloomberg site

Market Data
Dollar Weakens on Concern Crude Oil Prices May Prolong Slowdown

By Ye Xie and Candice Zachariahs

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell the most against the euro in a week on concern crude oil prices may prolong the slowdown of the U.S. economy.

"The yen advanced against the euro and the dollar after U.S. stocks retreated, prompting investors to shed holdings of higher-yielding assets funded by loans in Japan. South Korea's won rose against all of its major counterparts on speculation the government intervened to boost the currency."

"``The resilience of oil prices makes an extended rally in the dollar unlikely,'' said Vassili Serebriakov, a currency strategist at Wells Fargo & Co. in New York."

"Against the euro, the dollar fell 0.5 percent to $1.5743 at 3:04 p.m. in New York, from $1.5670 yesterday. The yen increased 0.7 percent to 106.78 per dollar, from 107.50. Japan's currency rose 0.2 percent to 168.12 per euro, from 168.45."

"The dollar has fallen 11 percent against the euro since September, when the Federal Reserve made the first of seven reductions in its target lending rate, now 2 percent, to prevent the housing slump and credit market losses from plunging the U.S. economy into a recession."

"European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet told the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, today that the level of inflation is ``worrying.'' He also said it's important for the U.S. to repeat support for a strong currency."

Crude Oil Gains

"Crude oil for August delivery increased as much as 1.7 percent to $138.28 a barrel today after a U.S. Energy Department report showed a bigger-than-forecast decline in inventories. Iran carried out a test of a missile capable of hitting Israel, Iranian state television reported, raised concern that Israel will attack the Mideast's second-biggest oil producer. Prices are 90 percent higher than from a year ago."

"The euro-dollar exchange rate and oil have moved in the same direction 90 percent of the time in the past year, according to Bloomberg calculations based on the correlation of their value."

"``We've not broken the back of the current uptrend of oil prices so far,'' said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist in New York at Bank of New York Mellon, the world's largest custodial bank, with more than $23 trillion in assets under administration. ``That's not favorable for the dollar.''"

"The Canadian currency increased 0.9 percent to C$1.0106 per U.S. dollar, and the Norwegian krone rose 0.3 percent to 5.1163 versus the dollar. Commodities such as crude oil and gold account for 54 percent of Canada's exports, while Norway is the world's fifth-largest oil supplier."

Dollar Index

"The Dollar Index traded on ICE futures in New York, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of six U.S. trading partners, fell 0.5 percent to 72.640."

The yen increased 0.5 percent to 10.372 against the Mexican peso and 0.4 percent to 66.494 versus the Brazilian real on speculation a 1 percent drop in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index reduced carry trades.

"In such a trade, investors borrow in countries with low interest rates and invest in high-yielding assets elsewhere. Japan's 0.5 percent target lending rate compares with 12.25 percent in Brazil and 7.75 percent in Mexico."

"``The weakness that we've seen in equities recently undermines the carry trade and gives the yen a bit of a boost,'' said Woolfolk."

"South Korea's won strengthened beyond 1,000 per dollar for the first time in two months. The government probably sold more than $12 billion dollars in exchange for the won since the end of May to support the local currency and stem inflation, according to Jung Chan Ho, a foreign-exchange dealer at Shinhan Bank, a unit of South Korea's second-biggest financial group. The won increased as much as 3.5 percent to 996.62 per dollar."

Rand's Advance

"South Africa's rand climbed 1.1 percent to 7.6544 per dollar, a one-month high, on speculation a proposed merger between MTN Group Ltd., Africa's biggest mobile-phone company, and India's Reliance Communications Ltd. may boost foreign capital inflows into South Africa."

"Traders increased bets that the ECB will raise borrowing costs again to curtail 4 percent annual inflation, twice policy makers' 2 percent target. The implied rate on the December Euribor interest-rate futures contract rose 0.02 percentage point to 5.12 percent."

Trichet said last week that he has ``no bias'' for monetary policy after increasing the ECB's main refinancing rate by a quarter-percentage point to 4.25 percent.

"The yield advantage of two-year German bunds over comparable-maturity Treasury notes rose to a one-week high of 1.97 percentage points, making the European securities more attractive to investors."

"``The risk is that the ECB will raise interest rates again,'' said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities Inc. in Toronto. ``That will keep the euro relatively supported.''"

"The dollar has traded in a range of about $1.56 to $1.59 since the ECB's decision on July 3. The implied volatility on options for the dollar against six major currencies fell to 9.82 percent today, close to the lowest since Feb. 27."

To contact the reporters on this story: Ye Xie in New York at yxie6@bloomberg.net; Candice Zachariahs in New York at Czachariahs1@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 15:06 EDT"





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Market Data
Eurozone First Quarter GDP Final Estimate: Summary (Table)

By Ainhoa Goyeneche

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Following is the summary of the first quarter GDP estimate from Eurostat in Luxembourg:


========================================================================
----- Latest release ----- -- Previous Release --
1Q 4Q 3Q 2Q 1Q 4Q 3Q 2Q
2008 2007 2007 2007 2008 2007 2007 2007
========================================================================
------------------------ [bn:WBTKR=EUGNEMUQ:IND] QoQ [] -----------------------
GDP 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4%
H'hold spending 0.2% -0.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.2% -0.1% 0.4% 0.6%
Govt spending 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Gross fixed
capital formation 1.6% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Exports 1.9% 0.4% 2.0% 1.0% 1.9% 0.3% 2.2% 0.9%
Imports 2.0% -0.2% 2.4% 0.3% 1.8% -0.3% 2.4% 0.2%



========================================================================
----- Latest release ----- -- Previous Release --
1Q 4Q 3Q 2Q 1Q 4Q 3Q 2Q
2008 2007 2007 2007 2008 2007 2007 2007
========================================================================
----------------------- [bn:WBTKR=EUGNEMUY:IND] YoY [] -----------------------
GDP 2.1% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.6%
H'hold spending 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8%
Govt spending 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4%
Gross fixed
capital formation 3.5% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8%
Exports 5.5% 4.4% 7.1% 6.0% 5.4% 4.4% 7.2% 5.9%
Imports 4.5% 4.0% 6.1% 5.2% 4.3% 4.0% 6.1% 5.2%
========================================================================
Notes:
Percentage change compared to the same quarter of the
previous quarter is calculated from seasonally adjusted data.
Percentage change compared to the same quarter of the
previous year is calculated from non-seasonally adjusted data.

SOURCE: Eurostat


To contact the reporter on this story: Ainhoa Goyeneche in Madrid at agoyenechecu@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 05:00 EDT"





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Market Data
"Italian Stocks Update: Aedes, Atlantia, Fiat, Pirelli, Tenaris "

By Francesca Cinelli

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Italy's S&P/MIB Index added 280, or 1 percent, to 28,586. Futures expiring in September rose 288, or 1 percent, to 28,840."

The following are among the most active stocks on the Italian market today. Share symbols are in parentheses.

"A2A SpA (A2A IM), Italy's largest municipal utility, pared gains, losing 0.3 cents, or 0.1 percent, to 2.34 euros. Goldman Sachs cut its price estimate on the stock to 2.8 euros from 3.35 euros."

"Aedes SpA (AE IM), a real estate and fund-management company, climbed to the highest in more than a week, adding 7.8 cents, or 6.6 percent, to 1.25 euros. The company is in talks with Dubai Investment Group about possible asset sales, financial newspaper MF reported, without saying where it got the information. ``New offers could support a stock price recovery,'' Pierluigi Amoruso, an analyst at UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking, wrote in a research report."

"Atlantia SpA (ATL IM), Europe's largest toll-highway operator, rose for the first time in three days, adding 56.2 cents, or 3.1 percent, to 18.57 euros. HSBC cut its price estimate on the stock to 25 euros from 28 euros and kept its ``overweight'' rating. Royal Bank of Scotland reiterated its ``buy'' rating on Atlantia. ``Any technical weakness could provide buying opportunities,'' RBS analysts including Christian Cowley wrote in a note."

"Buongiorno SpA (BNG IM), the Italian provider of services for mobile phones that bought U.K. rival iTouch Ventures Ltd. last year, fell to a record, losing 15 cents, or 14 percent, to 95 cents. Goldman Sachs downgraded the stock to ``sell'' from ``neutral.''"

"Fiat SpA (F IM), Italy's largest manufacturer, added 17.4 cents, or 1.8 percent, to 10.04 euros. Bayerische Motoren Werke AG and Fiat said yesterday they'll join forces to build cars on a common chassis to reduce development costs and help the Italian company reintroduce its Alfa Romeo brand in the U.S. ``Further cooperation might include the common development of engines, given Fiat's strong position in this area via its Fiat Powertrain Technologies division,'' Christian Breitsprecher and Jens Schattner, analysts at Sal. Oppenheim, wrote in a note."

"Kerself SpA (KRS IM), Italy's biggest producer of solar power cells, gained 20 cents, or 2 percent, to 10 euros. The company formed a partnership with Avelar Energy, a unit of Zurich-based Renova. The agreement will have a positive effect on the order backlog, Intermonte analysts wrote in a research report."

"Pirelli & C SpA (PC IM), Europe's third-largest tiremaker, rose for the first time in five sessions, adding 1.4 cents, or 3.4 percent, to 42.9 cents. The company completed the acquisition of Speed SpA, owner of a 39 percent stake in Pirelli's tire business."

"Pirelli & C Real Estate SpA (PRS IM), Italy's largest property manager, climbed 54.5 cents, or 4.8 percent, to 12 euros. Pirelli & C Spa owns a 58 percent stake in Pirelli & C Real Estate."

"Tenaris SA (TEN IM), the world's biggest maker of seamless steel tubes for pipelines, fell for a second day, losing 31 cents, or 1.5 percent, to 20.44 euros."

"Saipem SpA (SPM IM), Europe's largest oil-field services contractor by market value, shed 18 cents, or 0.7 percent, to 26.43 euros. Oil stocks were the worst performers among the 18 industry groups in Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index today."

"UniCredit SpA (UCG IM), Italy's largest bank, rose 9.3 cents, or 2.6 percent, to 3.66 euros. Banking stocks were the best performers among the 18 industry groups in Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index today."

To contact the reporter on this story: Francesca Cinelli in Milan at fcinelli@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 07:14 EDT"





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Market Data
Indian Rupee Rises as Stock Gains May Help Slow Capital Outflow

By Anoop Agrawal and Anil Varma

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- India's rupee rose on speculation capital outflows will slow as the nation's benchmark share index advanced by the most in a week.

"The rupee strengthened for a second day as the Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensitive Index, or Sensex, was poised to snap a seven-week loss after rising 4.6 percent today. Asian stocks rose the most in three weeks after JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s chief executive officer said credit-market losses will ease and oil prices dropped almost 6 percent from an all-time high of $145.85 a barrel reached on July 3."

"``The rupee is following the positive developments in the Asian equity markets,'' said P.V. Rao, a currency trader at IndusInd Bank Ltd. in Mumbai."

"The rupee rose 0.3 percent to 43.135 a dollar at the 5 p.m. close of trading in Mumbai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It may climb to 43 in the next week, Rao said."

"The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index rose as much as 2 percent, the most in three months. Funds based abroad were net sellers of Indian equities on three of the six trading days this month, according to the latest data provided by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. They sold a net $6.6 billion of local shares in 2008, compared with a record $17.2 billion in net purchases last year."

Cheaper Oil

"The rupee also gained after crude oil had the biggest two- day decline since March, spurring speculation India's import costs will decrease. The South Asian nation imports 70 percent of the oil it needs annually."

"``I expect the rupee to gain support as crude oil's decline reduces dollar demand,'' IndusInd's Rao said."

"Crude oil in New York fell 3.8 percent yesterday, adding to a 2.7 percent loss the day before. India's oil imports averaged $7.8 billion a month this year, compared with $5.45 billion in 2007, government data show."

To contact the reporter on this story: Anoop Agrawal in Mumbai at aagrawal8@bloomberg.net; Anil Varma in Mumbai at avarma3@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 08:10 EDT"





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Market Data
"French Stocks: Credit Agricole, Dexia, Esker, Societe Generale "

By Adria Cimino

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- France's CAC 40 Index rose 64.05, or 1.5 percent, to 4,339.66 in Paris, gaining for a second time this week. The SBF 120 Index added 1.6 percent."

The following stocks rose or fell in Paris. Stock symbols are in parentheses.

"Banks climbed after JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said losses in credit markets will ease. Dexia SA (DX FP), the world's biggest lender to local governments, gained 6.8 percent to 9.46 euros. Credit Agricole SA (ACA FP), France's second-largest bank by assets, advanced 5.3 percent to 12.75 euros. Societe Generale SA (GLE FP), the country's third largest, rose 4.5 percent to 55.01 euros."

"Esker SA (ESK FP) jumped 30 cents, or 7.7 percent, to 4.20 euros, gaining for a second time this week. The supplier of fax software to Whirlpool Corp. and Adecco SA said it signed a partnership with Fujitsu Europe Ltd. The companies will work together to help companies eliminate paper from their management processes, Esker said."

"JCDecaux SA (DEC FP) rose 72 cents, or 5 percent, to 15.27 euros, its biggest gain in two months. The world's second- largest seller of outdoor advertising won the billboard contract for Algiers airport. It didn't give financial terms."

"Netgem SA (NTG FP) slipped 8 cents, or 4.7 percent, to 1.62 euros, for the biggest decline since March 17. The supplier of set-top television boxes for Neuf Cegetel said second-quarter sales fell 1.4 percent to 17 million euros ($26.7 million)."

To contact the reporter on this story: Adria Cimino in Paris at acimino1@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 12:35 EDT"





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Market Data
Indian Rupee Rises on Speculation Stock Gains to Spur Inflows

By Anoop Agrawal

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- India's rupee rose on speculation gains in Asian stocks will encourage investors to reduce sales of local shares.

"The rupee rose for a second day, its best run in almost two weeks, after crude oil prices fell the most in three months yesterday, reducing the demand for dollars from Indian refiners. Asia's third-largest economy meets almost three-quarters of its energy needs from imports. Overseas funds sold more local shares than they bought this year as accelerating inflation threatened to erode the value of the returns from their investment."

"``The rupee is following the positive developments in the Asian markets,'' said P.V. Rao, a currency trader at IndusInd Bank Ltd. in Mumbai. ``I expect it to gain further support as crude oil's fall is reducing dollar demand.''"

"The rupee rose 0.4 percent to 43.10 per dollar as of 9:35 a.m. in Mumbai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. It may rise to as high as 43 in the next week, Rao said."

"The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index rose as much as 2 percent, the most in three months. Funds based abroad were net sellers of Indian equities on three of the five trading days this month, according to data provided by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. They sold a net $6.5 billion of local shares in 2008, compared with a record $17.2 billion in net purchases last year."

"Crude oil for August delivery was at $136.14 a barrel in after hours trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It tumbled $5.33, or 3.8 percent, yesterday."

To contact the reporter on this story: Anoop Agrawal in Mumbai at aagrawal8@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 00:34 EDT"





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Market Data
Chicago Soybeans Rise After Biggest Two-Day Decline Since March

By Jae Hur

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Soybeans climbed after posting the biggest two-day decline since March as commodities, led by crude oil and corn, tumbled on escalating concern that the sagging global economy will cut demand, prompting investors to sell."

"Soybeans fell 6.2 percent in the past two days, the biggest such drop since the end of March, while corn plunged 7 percent and crude oil slumped 6.4 percent. The UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index dropped 4.8 percent in the past three days. Raw materials lost after their best first half in 35 years."

"The U.S. economy has sagged amid credit-market and housing slides. The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index, which fell to its lowest since November 2006 yesterday, has dropped 17 percent this year as record oil prices and credit-related losses offset central banks' efforts to bolster confidence in financial markets."

"``It's a technical correction,'' said Nicholas Chung, senior manager of the commodity derivatives team at Korea Development Bank in Seoul. ``But the rally will be short-lived as commodities are still in the middle of erasing some froth created by speculative interest.''"

"Soybean for November delivery added as much as 26 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $15.555 a bushel in after-hours trading on the Chicago Board of Trade and stood at $15.415 as of midday in London. Most-active futures have risen 77 percent in a year, reaching a record $16.3675 on July 3."

"Corn for December delivery fell 9.5 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $7.13 a bushel, after losing 7 percent in the previous two days. The price has doubled in 12 months, reaching a record $7.9925 on June 27, as global reserves were forecast to fall to a 24-year low before the start of the U.S. harvest later this year."

Alternative Investment

"The declines were partly because of falling energy costs that could reduce demand for biofuels made from the grain, said Kazuhiko Saito, strategist at Interes Capital Management Co."

"Declines in main portfolios, such as stocks and bonds, prompted investors to exit commodities to make up for the losses, Chung said."

"``The fundamentals in commodities still remain strong as the price run-up has been driven by rising demand amid tight supplies,'' Chung said. ``We may see another decline in prices, but we also expect good buying interest at any price dips.''"

"With declining equity markets, the dollar's strength has also put pressure on grains and other commodities, Saito said."

"Record prices for fuel, corn, wheat, copper and other raw materials are leading oil explorers, metal producers and farmers to increase supplies."

"The weighted UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index dropped 2.6 percent to 1,632 yesterday. The gauge, which measures 26 futures prices, reached a record 1,723 on July 3."

Wheat Gains

"Wheat for September delivery rose 0.5 cent, or 0.1 percent, to $8.37 a bushel. Prices reached a record $13.495 on Feb. 27 as world farmers planted more to take advantage of higher prices."

Wheat gained today as some investors bet dry weather has damaged the spring crop in the northern U.S. Great Plains. It was also supported by speculation that demand for the grain to feed livestock will increase as an alternative to high-cost corn.

"South Korea, the world's third-biggest corn buyer, bought as much as 330,000 tons of feed wheat yesterday as a cheaper alternative to corn, two people familiar with the purchases said."

"Egypt plans to buy at least 80,000 metric tons of wheat at a tender today, while Japan bought 128,000 tons of milling wheat, including 61,000 tons from the U.S."

To contact the reporter on this story: Jae Hur in Singapore at jhur1@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 07:19 EDT"





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Market Data
"French Stocks: Air France, Credit Agricole, Dexia and JCDecaux "

By Adria Cimino

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- France's CAC 40 Index rose 48.39, or 1.1 percent, to 4,324 at 9:34 a.m. in Paris, gaining for a second time this week. The SBF 120 Index added 1.2 percent."

The following stocks rose or fell in Paris. Stock symbols are in parentheses.

"Banks climbed after JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said losses in credit markets will ease. Dexia SA (DX FP), the world's biggest lender to local governments, gained 4 percent to 9.21 euros. Credit Agricole SA (ACA FP), France's second-largest bank by assets, advanced 3.2 percent to 12.50 euros. Societe Generale SA (GLE FP), the country's third largest, rose 2.3 percent to 53.88 euros."

"Air France-KLM Group (AF FP) added 34 cents, or 2.2 percent, to 15.56 euros, gaining for a third day. Europe's biggest airline will raise fuel surcharges by 2 euros per segment on French flights and by as much as 14 euros per segment on international routes from July 10."

"JCDecaux SA (DEC FP) rose 26 cents, or 1.8 percent, to 14.81 euros, rebounding from two days of losses. The world's second-largest seller of outdoor advertising won the billboard contract for Algiers airport. It didn't give financial terms."

"Netgem SA (NTG FP) slipped 6 cents, or 3.5 percent, to 1.64 euros, its biggest drop in a month. The supplier of set-top television boxes for Neuf Cegetel said second-quarter sales fell 1.4 percent to 17 million euros ($26.7 million)."

"Ubisoft Entertainment SA (UBI FP) increased 65 cents, or 1.1 percent, to 58.25 euros, gaining for a second time this week. Europe's second-largest video-game maker bought Montreal- based Hybride Technologies to add an estimated 6 million to 7 million euros in annual sales."

To contact the reporter on this story: Adria Cimino in Paris at acimino1@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 03:37 EDT"





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Market Data
"Natural Gas Is Steady as Dollar Falls Against Euro, Oil Gains "

By Mario Parker

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Natural gas in New York was little changed euro advanced against the U.S. dollar, increasing the appeal of commodities as an investment alternative, and crude oil rose."

The dollar fell and oil prices increased for the first time in three days after Iran said it carried out a test of a long- range missile capable of hitting Israel and supplies fell more than analysts expected.

"``I expect the oil inventory report to drive us for the rest of the day,'' said Phil Flynn, senior trader at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago. ``After the big sell-off, natural gas is just above water.''"

"Natural gas for August delivery rose 2.1 cents to $12.389 per million British thermal units at 10:45 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gas closed at $13.577 on July 3, the highest price since Dec. 21, 2005. Futures are 65 percent higher so far this year."

"Crude oil for August delivery rose $1.52, or 1.1 percent, to $137.56 a barrel in New York. Oil reached a record $145.85 on July 3."

"Oil advanced after a U.S. government report showed supplies fell 5.84 million barrels to 293.9 million barrels in the week ended July 4. Inventories were forecast to drop 2.1 million barrels, according to the median of analyst estimates in a Bloomberg News survey."

"Against the euro, the dollar fell 0.4 percent to $1.574 at 10:46 a.m. in New York, from $1.5670 yesterday."

"The dollar has fallen 10 percent against the euro since September, when the Federal Reserve made the first of seven reductions in its target rate for overnight bank loans to prevent the housing slump and credit market losses from plunging the U.S. economy into a recession."

To contact the reporter on this story: Mario Parker in Chicago at mparker22@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 10:47 EDT"





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Market Data
Canada's S&P/TSX Erases Gain as Royal Bank Falls; Potash Rises

By John Kipphoff

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Canada's main stock index erased a gain as Royal Bank of Canada led a drop in financial companies on concern they face further credit losses. Commodity producers including Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. advanced.

"The Standard & Poor's/TSX Composite Index slipped 0.2 percent to 13,778.98 at 2:24 p.m. in Toronto, after climbing as much as 1.2 percent earlier today. Almost three stocks advanced for every two that dropped."

"Royal Bank slid 1.5 percent to C$45.32. The nation's largest lender by assets may record pretax writedowns of as much as C$1.5 billion ($1.48 billion) in the third quarter, on widening credit spreads and deteriorating subprime investments, Genuity Capital Markets analyst Mario Mendonca said in a note."

"Potash Corp., the world's biggest maker of crop nutrients by market value, gained 1 percent to C$221.50."

To contact the reporter on this story: John Kipphoff in Toronto at jkipphoff@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 14:32 EDT"





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Market Data
Mexican Peso Gains as CPI Data Adds to Rate-Rise Speculation

By Hugh Collins

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Mexico's peso gained after the central bank reported that inflation quickened last month, adding to speculation the central bank will raise its benchmark lending rate for a second time this year."

"The peso advanced 0.2 percent to 10.2962 pesos per dollar at 10:48 a.m. New York time, from 10.3155 yesterday. The currency has appreciated 5.9 percent this year, buoyed by the widening gap between U.S. and Mexican benchmark interest rates. The gap grew to 5.75 percentage points, the biggest since September 2005, after Banco de Mexico raised its benchmark rate a quarter- percentage point to 7.75 percent on June 20."

"``We still expect the central bank to raise rates'' a quarter-point this month, said Jon Harrison, a currency analyst with Dresdner Kleinwort in London. Harrison predicted the peso would remain at about 10.29 pesos per dollar ``with a bias toward gradual appreciation.''"

"Annual inflation quickened to 5.26 percent in June from 4.95 percent in May, the central bank said today. The central bank seeks to keep inflation at 4 percent or lower."

"Yields on the government's benchmark 10 percent bonds due December 2024 fell 5 basis points, or 0.05 percentage point, to 9.36 percent. The bond's price gained 0.41 centavo to 105.34 centavos per peso, according to Banco Santander SA."

"``There were no surprises today, and that gives the market more confidence about inflation expectations,'' said Tomas Noriega, a fixed-income analyst with Monex Casa de Bolsa SA in Mexico City."

To contact the reporter on this story: Hugh Collins in Mexico City at Hcollins8@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 10:59 EDT"





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Market Data
"Canadian Dollar Gains the Most in a Week on Oil, Housing Report "

By Jamie McGee

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- The Canadian dollar rose the most in a week after oil gained and a report showed new-home starts last month exceeded economists' forecasts.

Canada's dollar increased against 14 of the 16 most-active currencies and has strengthened 0.9 percent so far this week as oil advanced after a two-day decline. The nation has the largest crude deposits outside the Middle East. Commodities account for about half of the country's exports.

"``The Canadian dollar is trading with a stronger bias on the back of higher oil prices,'' said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto. ``What's been surprising is the dollar hasn't risen alongside higher oil prices this year. It's probably playing a little catch-up.''"

"The Canadian currency rose 0.9 percent to C$1.0105 per U.S. dollar at 1:16 p.m. in Toronto, from C$1.0192 yesterday. It was the biggest gain since July 2. The currency earlier touched C$1.0098. One Canadian dollar buys 98.94 U.S. cents."

"Crude oil for August delivery rose as much as $2.24, or 1.7 percent, to $138.28 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange."

"The Canadian dollar will decline to C$1.06 by the first quarter of 2009, according to the median forecast of 35 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News."

"The June total of 217,800 new-home starts on an annualized basis compares with a revised 227,700 in May, Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. said today in Ottawa. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 20 economists was for 216,000."

`Stronger Than Expected'

"``Housing starts were slightly stronger than expected,'' said David Bradley, director of foreign exchange trading at Scotia Capital in Toronto. ``We've seen crude bounce. The fundamentals are working in our favor. The currency hasn't been significantly following fundamentals recently. It's been following transactional flows.''"

"The loonie, as the currency is known because of the image of the bird on the one-dollar coin, has traded near parity with its U.S. counterpart this year. It touched a 2008 low of C$1.0379 on Jan. 22, and a high of 97.12 cents per U.S. dollar on Feb. 28."

"``The Canadian economy is continuing to do well on the domestic side,'' said David Watt, a senior currency strategist in Toronto at RBC Capital Markets. ``Housing is nowhere near the worry it is in the U.S. and the rest of the world. The risks seem tilted toward the Canadian dollar strengthening.''"

Resist an Increase

"Watt said the Bank of Canada will resist an interest-rate increase until early next year. Policy makers will leave the key rate unchanged when they meet on July 15, according to the median forecast of 15 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News."

"The U.S. Federal Reserve on June 25 left its benchmark interest rate at 2 percent, ending a series of seven cuts since September. Canada's central bank unexpectedly left borrowing costs unchanged at 3 percent on June 10."

"Todd Elmer, currency strategist at Citigroup Global Markets in New York, said commodities, primarily oil, will further support the Canadian dollar."

"``The commodities' strength has shown few signs of unwinding, despite concerns over slower global growth,'' Elmer said."

"The 10-year bond's yield rose 1 basis point, or 0.01 percentage point, to 3.70 percent."

The yield on the two-year government bond increased 1 basis point to 3.21 percent. The price of the 3.75 percent security due in June 2010 fell 3 cents to C$100.99.

The difference in yields between two- and 10-year securities has narrowed to 49 basis points from 81 basis points on June 5.

"The U.S. 10-year Treasury note yielded 16 basis points more than the comparable-maturity Canadian bond, narrowing from 39 basis points on June 25."

"Canadian government bonds have returned 3.3 percent in 2008, according to Merrill Lynch & Co. index statistics. U.S. Treasuries returned 2.9 percent so far this year."

To contact the reporter on this story: Jamie McGee in New York at jmcgee8@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 13:17 EDT"





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Market Data
Australian Dollar Falls on Home-Loans Data; N.Z. Dollar Rises

By Lilian Karunungan and Ron Harui

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- The Australian dollar fell after a government report showed home-loan approvals slid by the most in eight years and a private-sector survey of consumer confidence dropped to the lowest since 1992. New Zealand's currency rose.

The Australian currency declined the most in almost four weeks against the New Zealand dollar as traders pared bets the central bank will raise interest rates from a 12-year high. Australia's dollar slid below 95 U.S. cents for the first time in almost three weeks as the slump in the number of loans granted to buy or build new homes declined four times as much as economists forecast in May.

"The weak ``economic trend is capping the Australian dollar at the moment,'' said Greg Gibbs, a currency strategist at ABN Amro Holding NV in Sydney."

"Australia's currency declined to 95.17 U.S. cents at 4:33 p.m. in Sydney from 95.23 cents in late Asian trading yesterday. It reached 94.77 cents, the weakest level since June 20. The Australian dollar fell 0.5 percent to NZ$1.2603, the biggest decline since June 12. New Zealand's dollar rose 0.4 percent to 75.41 U.S. cents."

"Home-loan approvals dropped 7.9 percent from April, when they declined a revised 4.2 percent, the statistics bureau said in Sydney today. It was the fourth straight monthly decrease. The median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 21 economists was for a 2 percent drop in loan approvals."

Consumer Sentiment

"Australia's consumer sentiment index fell 6.7 percent from June to 79 points, according to a Westpac Banking Corp. and Melbourne Institute survey. That was the sixth straight reading of less than 100, showing pessimists outnumber optimists."

"Traders have assigned 24 percent odds to the Reserve Bank of Australia raising its 7.25 percent benchmark interest rate by a quarter-percentage point in the next 12 months, according to a Credit Suisse Group index based on trading in interest-rate swaps. The probabilities were 36 percent yesterday and 72 percent a week ago."

"The Australian and New Zealand dollars advanced against the yen as the MSCI Asia-Pacific Index of regional shares rose 0.8 percent after the Standard & Poor's 500 Index gained 1.7 percent, encouraging investors to buy higher-yielding assets funded in Japan."

"The Australian dollar rose 0.4 percent to 102.13 yen from 101.72 yen. The New Zealand dollar climbed 0.9 percent, the most since May 16, to 80.96 yen."

"In carry trades, investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs and invest in one with higher interest rates, earning the spread between the borrowing and lending rate. The risk is that currency market moves erase those profits."

"The Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar are targets of the strategy because benchmark interest rates are 7.25 percent in Australia and 8.25 percent in New Zealand, while the benchmark rate is 0.5 percent in Japan."

`Risk Appetite'

"``Disappointing consumer confidence and home loans in Australia will, however, briefly frustrate the expected Aussie- yen rally,'' said Matthew Strauss, a senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Toronto, a unit of Canada's largest bank, in a research note."

"Australian government bonds climbed for a fifth day. The yield on the two-year note fell 1 basis points to 6.69 percent. The price of the 5.25 percent bond maturing in August 2010 rose 0.025, or A$0.25 per A$1,000 face amount, to 97.225. Yields move inversely to prices."

"New Zealand government debt rose for a fifth day, with the yield on the 10-year note dropping 4 basis points to 6.24 percent. A basis point is equivalent to 0.01 percentage point."

To contact the reporter on this story: Lilian Karunungan in Singapore at lkarunungan@bloomberg.net; Ron Harui in Singapore at rharui@bloomberg.net;

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 05:12 EDT"





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Market Data
Indian Bonds Gain After Oil's Biggest 2-Day Decline Since March

By Anil Varma

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- India's 10-year bonds advanced, ending seven days of losses, as crude oil's biggest two-day decline since March eased concern inflation will quicken."

"Benchmark yields dropped from a seven-year high after oil in New York fell 3.8 percent yesterday, adding to a 2.7 percent loss the day before. The rate of inflation in India, which imports 70 percent of the oil it needs, tripled this year as the commodity jumped 42 percent. Bonds also gained on speculation yields near the highest since 2001 will attract investors."

"``The bond market has taken a breather because oil got cheaper,'' said S. Ananthanarayan, chief bond trader at Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd., a Mumbai-based primary dealer that underwrites government debt sales. ``A sustained decline in oil will help ease concerns about faster inflation and possibly persuade the central bank to skip any monetary action'' at its next scheduled meeting on July 29."

"The yield on the benchmark 8.24 percent note due April 2018 fell 1 basis point to 9.28 percent as of 11:04 a.m. in Mumbai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The price rose 0.07, or 7 paise per 100 rupee face amount, to 93.38."

"The 10-year bond may yield between 9.2 percent and 9.4 percent this week, Ananthanarayan said."

"Crude oil has declined more than 6 percent from an all-time high of $145.85 per barrel reached on July 3. A government report on July 4 showed India's inflation accelerated to 11.63 percent, the fastest since 1995, in the second week of June."

"The Reserve Bank of India increased its key overnight lending rate twice last month to curb price gains. The central bank raised the repurchase rate last on June 24 by 0.5 percentage point, the most since 2000, to 8.5 percent."

"The cost of benchmark interest-rate swaps, derivative contracts used to guard against and gain from rate fluctuations, decreased for a fifth day. The five-year fixed swap rate that investors must pay in exchange for receiving a floating rate declined to 9.62 percent from 9.67 percent yesterday."

To contact the reporter on this story: Anil Varma in Mumbai at avarma3@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 01:42 EDT"





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Market Data
"Brazil, Ecuador, Mexico: Latin America Bond, Currency Preview "

By Jamie McGee

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- The following events and economic reports may influence trading in Latin American local bonds and currencies today. Bond yields and exchange rates are from a previous session.

"Brazil: Monthly inflation rate likely accelerated 1.86 percent in June, compared with 1.88 percent in May, according the median estimate of 24 economists in a Bloomberg survey."

The Getulio Vargas Foundation is scheduled to release the report at 7 a.m. New York time.

The real fell 0.7 percent to 1.6120 per dollar.

"The yield on the country's zero-coupon bonds due January 2010 fell 19 basis points, or 0.19 percentage point to 15.18 percent, according to Banco Votrantim SA."

"Ecuador: Bonds tumbled after Finance Minister Fausto Ortiz resigned, renewing concern the government may default on about $10 billion of debt."

"The extra yield investors demand to own Ecuador's debt rather than U.S. Treasuries jumped 53 basis points, or 0.53 percentage point, to 6.64 percentage points, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s EMBI Plus index. The so-called spread is the widest since March 20."

"Mexico: Consumer prices rose by 5.25 percent in the last 12 months through June, after a 4.95 percent increase in the year through May, according to the median estimate of 23 economists in a Bloomberg survey."

"The monthly inflation rate likely accelerated by 0.41 percent in June, from minus 0.11 percent in May, according to the median estimate of 25 economists in a Bloomberg survey."

The Bank of Mexico is scheduled to release the data at 10 a.m. New York time.

The peso rose 0.19 percent to 10.3155 per dollar.

"The yield on Mexico's benchmark 10 percent bonds due December 2024 fell 2 basis points, or 0.02 percentage point, to 9.41 percent, according to Banco Santander SA."

To contact the reporter on this story: Jamie McGee in New York at jmcgee8@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 00:00 EDT"





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Market Data
"U.S. Stock-Index Futures Gain; Alcoa, Wachovia Shares Advance "

By Eric Martin

Enlarge Image/Details

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock-index futures gained after Alcoa Inc. kicked off the second-quarter earnings season by reporting profit that topped analysts' estimates.

"Alcoa, the first Dow Jones Industrial Average company to post results, climbed as higher prices helped the aluminum producer limit a drop in profit. Wachovia Corp., the fourth- largest U.S. bank, rallied after Merrill Lynch & Co. said the company would be a ``good fit'' for JPMorgan Chase & Co. Stocks rose in Europe and Asia on speculation that losses at financial companies will ease and commodity prices will decline, reducing inflation and pressure on profit margins."

"Futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 expiring in September added 3.7, or 0.3 percent, to 1,277.4 at 8:17 a.m. in New York. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 30 to 11,405. Nasdaq-100 Index futures rose 8 to 1,876.5."

"U.S. shares rallied yesterday, sending the S&P 500 to its steepest advance in a month. Banks and transportation companies led gains after JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s chief executive officer said the credit crisis will ease and oil posted its biggest drop since March."

"Alcoa climbed $1.26 to $33.59. The company posted second- quarter profit excluding certain items of 71 cents a share, topping the 65-cent average estimate of 17 analysts in a Bloomberg survey."

Wachovia added 57 cents to $16.11. Merrill said Wachovia's ``realistic'' acquisition value would be $16 to $20 a share and also raised its rating on the stock to ``neutral'' from ``underperform.''

Gains in futures were limited as oil rose for the first time this week as the dollar fell Iran test-fired a missile capable of reaching Israel.

"Crude for August delivery gained as much as $2.24, or 1.7 percent, to $137.78 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange."

To contact the reporter on this story: Eric Martin in New York at emartin21@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 08:17 EDT"





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Market Data
Chile Economists Lift 2008 Inflation Forecast to 7.5% (Update1)

By Sebastian Boyd

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Chilean economists raised their inflation forecast for this year by 2 percentage points, a central bank survey of economists showed."

"Consumer prices will rise 7.5 percent this year, according to the median estimate of 36 economists in a survey carried out between July 2 and July 8. Economists had expected 5.5 percent inflation in last month's survey."

"Faster inflation will prompt the central bank to raise its target interest rate by half a percentage point tomorrow and by a further half point before the end of the year, the poll showed. Chile Central Bank President Jose De Gregorio increased rates by a half point at the last meeting in June as rising costs of oil and food spread in the economy."

"``We don't see how inflation can come down to lower levels by the end of the year,'' said Gabriel Casillas, an economist at UBS AG in Mexico City. ``Price rises have a future effect because once they go up inflation expectations are contaminated.''"

"Inflation accelerated to 9.5 percent in June, the highest since 1994."

Chile's central bank aims for inflation expectations inside its target range of between 2 percent and 4 percent over a two- year horizon. The median estimate of 31 economists in this month's survey was for inflation of 3.8 percent in June 2009.

The central bank published results of the survey on its Web site.

To contact the reporter on this story: Sebastian Boyd in Santiago at sboyd9@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 10:04 EDT"





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Market Data
"German, French Exports Decline on Euro, Cooling Global Economy "

By Fergal O'Brien and Gabi Thesing

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Exports from Germany fell the most in almost four years in May and French shipments abroad also dropped as the stronger euro and a cooling global economy curbed demand.

"German sales abroad, adjusted for working days and seasonal changes, declined 3.2 percent from April, the biggest drop since June 2004, the Federal Statistics Office in Wiesbaden said today. French exports fell 1.7 percent, the Trade Ministry in Paris said."

Exporters in the euro region's two largest economies are grappling with the currency's 15 percent appreciation against the dollar and an 18 percent gain against sterling in the past year. That's eroding competitiveness just as a U.S.-led global slowdown and record oil prices cool the world economy.

"``There was at first a north-south growth divide between euro-zone economies,'' said Martin van Vliet, an economist at ING Group in Amsterdam. ``But it was only a matter of time before we saw the impact of the strong euro and the slowdown in the U.S. feed through to Germany and France.''"

"The decline in German exports was unexpected. Economists had forecast a gain of 0.5 percent, the median of 11 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey showed. The drop in French exports, coupled with an increase in imports, pushed the country's deficit to a record 4.74 billion euros ($7.43 billion), exceeding economists' 4 billion-euro estimate. The trade gap was 3.74 billion euros in April."

Target Dropped

"Renault SA, France's second-largest carmaker, today abandoned its sales goal for 2008 after deliveries rose 4.3 percent in the first half, less than half the rate forecast for the full year. Sales growth in the second half ``will depend to a large extent on economic and financial developments, still highly uncertain, and their impact on the main automotive markets,'' the Boulogne-Billancourt, France-based carmaker said."

"France, Europe's third-biggest economy, will grow 0.2 percent in the second quarter, the least in almost two years, Paris-based statistics office Insee predicted. The economy will stagnate in the third quarter."

"Growth is slowing globally after the U.S. subprime mortgage market collapsed, making banks reluctant to lend and driving up the cost of credit. In April, the International Monetary Fund forecast that world growth would ease to 3.7 percent this year from 4.9 percent in 2007."

"In Germany, manufacturing orders unexpectedly fell for the sixth straight month in May and industrial production declined for a third time, reports showed over the past week. Plant and machinery orders fell the most in three years in May, the VDMA machine makers association said on July 2."

"From a year earlier, German exports rose 2.5 percent, today's report showed. The trade surplus narrowed to 14.4 billion euros from 18.8 billion euros in April."

"``We can't expect much support from the export side,'' said Matthias Rubisch, an economist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. ``We will only see slight gains in the coming months. Over the past few weeks, the economic outlook has considerably worsened.''"

To contact the reporters on this story: Fergal O'Brien in Dublin at fobrien@bloomberg.net; Gabi Thesing in Frankfurt at gthesing@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 04:49 EDT"





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Market Data
Mexico's Peso Advances Ahead of June Consumer Price Report

By Hugh Collins

July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Mexico's peso advanced to its highest this month ahead of a central bank report that economists expect will show inflation quickened in June.

"The peso has strengthened the past five days as investors bet that a pickup in inflation will prompt the central bank to raise its benchmark 7.75 percent lending rate, a move that may lure more capital to the country's fixed-income market."

"``There's no doubt this keeps the central bank in the direction of further tightening,'' said Francisco Larios, chief emerging-markets economist with Decision Economics in Miami. ``That in turn tends to help the peso.''"

"The peso advanced 0.2 percent to at 10.2983 pesos per dollar, from 10.3155 yesterday at 8:49 a.m. New York time."

"Annual inflation climbed to 5.25 percent in June from 4.95 percent in May, according to the median estimate of 24 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. The central bank seeks to keep inflation at 4 percent or lower."

"The central bank last raised its key interest rate on June 20, pushing it up a quarter-percentage point from 7.5 percent as it said that inflation was ``worrying.'' Four days later, the bank reported that consumer prices rose 0.29 percent in the first half of June, almost twice as much as economists expected."

The central bank is slated to release the June consumer price report at 10 a.m. New York time.

"Yields on the government's benchmark 10 percent bonds due December 2024 fell 7 basis points, or 0.07 percentage point, to 9.34 percent. The bond's price gained 0.59 centavo to 105.51 centavos per peso, according to Banco Santander SA."

To contact the reporter on this story: Hugh Collins in Mexico City at Hcollins8@bloomberg.net

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 09:03 EDT"





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Market Data
Indian Bonds Fall as Central Bank May Act to Contain Inflation

By Anil Varma

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Indian bonds fell for an eighth day on speculation the central bank, which raised interest rates twice last month, will take additional steps to curb inflation."

"Yields on benchmark 10-year notes climbed to the highest level since 2001 as a report on July 11 may show inflation accelerated to the fastest pace since February 1995. India needs to take steps to curb demand and the nation will ``overcome the inflation problem,'' Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram told UTVi television channel in an interview yesterday. The Reserve Bank of India will meet next on July 29 to decide on borrowing costs."

"``Yields will remain volatile near their seven-year high as we approach the central bank's policy meeting,'' said S. Ananthanarayan, chief trader at Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd., a primary dealer that underwrites government debt sales in Mumbai."

"The yield on the benchmark 8.24 percent note due April 2018 rose 3 basis points to 9.32 percent at the 5:30 p.m. close of trading in Mumbai, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The price dropped 0.16, or 16 paise per 100 rupee face amount, to 93.15. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point."

"The 10-year bond may yield between 9.2 percent and 9.4 percent this week, Ananthanarayan said."

"The central bank raised the benchmark repurchase rate last on June 24 by 0.5 percentage point, the most since 2000, to 8.5 percent. It also told lenders to set aside more money as reserves to curb money supply growth."

Drop in Oil

Bonds gained earlier after crude oil's biggest two-day decline since March eased concern inflation will quicken.

"Oil in New York fell 3.8 percent yesterday, adding to a 2.7 percent loss the day before. The rate of inflation in India, which imports 70 percent of the oil it needs, tripled this year as the commodity jumped 43 percent. Crude oil has declined almost 6 percent from an all-time high of $145.85 per barrel reached on July 3."

"The cost of benchmark interest-rate swaps, derivative contracts used to guard against and gain from rate fluctuations, was little changed. The five-year fixed swap rate that investors must pay in exchange for receiving a floating rate was unchanged at 9.67 percent."

To contact the reporter on this story: Anil Varma in Mumbai at avarma3@bloomberg.net.

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 08:41 EDT"





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Market Data
"France Stocks Update: CAC 40 Rises 36.53 to 4,312.14 "

By Daniel Hauck

"July 9 (Bloomberg) -- France's benchmark stock index, the CAC 40, rose 0.85 percent at 9:05 a.m."

"The index of 40 companies traded on the Paris Bourse rose 36.53 to 4,312.14. Among the stocks in the index, 36 rose and 4 fell."

"Gains in the CAC 40 were led by Societe Generale, Axa Sa and Bnp Paribas. About 5.00 million shares traded in the CAC 40."

"Last Updated: July 9, 2008 03:05 EDT"





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Some selected news from bloomberg site



<<2.552_20080709202050Dollar Weakens on Concern Crude Oil Prices May Prolong Slowdown .txt>> <<2.626_20080709140923Eurozone First Quarter GDP Final Estimate Summary (Table) .txt>> <<2.587_20080709135854Italian Stocks Update Aedes Atlantia Fiat Pirelli Tenaris .txt>> <<2.580_20080709135933Indian Rupee Rises as Stock Gains May Help Slow Capital Outflow .txt>> <<2.574_20080709201824French Stocks Credit Agricole Dexia Esker Societe Generale .txt>> <<2.572_20080709113510Indian Rupee Rises on Speculation Stock Gains to Spur Inflows .txt>> <<2.568_20080709141259Chicago Soybeans Rise After Biggest TwoDay Decline Since March .txt>> <<2.568_20080709113542French Stocks Air France Credit Agricole Dexia and JCDecaux .txt>> <<2.566_20080709202038Natural Gas Is Steady as Dollar Falls Against Euro Oil Gains .txt>> <<2.564_20080709202152Canada's S&PTSX Erases Gain as Royal Bank Falls Potash Rises .txt>> <<2.563_20080709202604Mexican Peso Gains as CPI Data Adds to RateRise Speculation .txt>> <<2.562_20080709202054Canadian Dollar Gains the Most in a Week on Oil Housing Report .txt>> <<2.561_20080709113815Australian Dollar Falls on HomeLoans Data NZ Dollar Rises .txt>> <<2.560_20080709113500Indian Bonds Gain After Oil's Biggest 2Day Decline Since March .txt>> <<2.559_20080709113308Brazil Ecuador Mexico Latin America Bond Currency Preview .txt>> <<2.558_20080709140411US StockIndex Futures Gain Alcoa Wachovia Shares Advance .txt>> <<2.554_20080709202600Chile Economists Lift 2008 Inflation Forecast to 75% (Update1) .txt>> <<2.554_20080709135942German French Exports Decline on Euro Cooling Global Economy .txt>> <<2.553_20080709201509Mexico's Peso Advances Ahead of June Consumer Price Report .txt>> <<2.553_20080709135926Indian Bonds Fall as Central Bank May Act to Contain Inflation .txt>> <<2.553_20080709113037France Stocks Update CAC 40 Rises 3653 to 431214 .txt>>

July 9, 2008

All that you need to know about financial markets but were affraid to ask

Yes, after these bearish days you are probably wondering: is it over? Is this the beggining of the end? In your mind you think that markets will fall further, but you prefer not believe yourself!

You just don't ask anyone about their opinion because you are affraid to discover that they might have the same view.

I never saw all the market participants on the same side. I just cannot find any bullish sentiment on this markets.


The global trader indicater agrees with this bearish view. Thought, in comparison to previous week there are some positive signals. India sensex had become bull, despite of the present short term downtrend. Momentum is also negative, so i recommend to stay away for now. Just keep an eye on it! Exactly the same for nasdaq ndx index.

In the european markets, even with todays rally, all gti are bearish. Exceptions are those sectors i discussed last week. Utilitties (that rallied 3.5%) and media (up 1%).

Let's wait and see what alcoa has reserved to us. It's a market mover event... I bet on the downside. And about you?

July 3, 2008

Morning Call: Trichet Day



In the eve of the 4th of July, all eyes will be turned to the European continent.


Trichet will, almost for sure, increase the european bank benchmark rate, to 4.25%. But most important will be the speech. will he leave the door open to more taxes increases these year? I really think he will.

Then, markets will probably fall further... euro will approach all time highs face to the US dolar, and thereafter we will face new oil prices... But this may be the last run of these markets in the same direction of the trend.

Very quickly, markets will perceive that even Bernanke will need to follow the same strategy, resulting in a stronger dollar. Then, the three main reasons to support the oil strength will beacome weaker:
- USD will appreciate, and because Oil prices (as others commodities) should be valued in fewer dollars.
- Subsidies given by some asian governs to the consuption of oil products, recently reduced, will impact the demand of oil, balancing it with supply;
- The strong world economic growth observed during the last couple of years will at least refrain, and thus the demand for oil will also decrease.

But for now, there is at least one run in the direcction of the current trends: oil up, equity markets down, eur/usd up...

Global Trader Indicator mantains all the yesterdays views. Bearish in all the geographies, bullish in the european healthcare and media sectors.

Markets today will be watching also S&P to see if it remains above it year lows, after it closed yesterday belows this years lowest close. I think that the break of the low acchieved on 17th March is a question of time...

July 2, 2008

Morning Blog

GTI is still bearish on all equities markets all over the world.

Asian shares are falling every day since last week, with nikkei preparing itself to an record streak of consecutive losses. GTI is still negative in all the asian markets it follows. Australian, Nikkei, Topix, Hang Seng, China, Russia, India and South Korea. If I have to buy something I believe that russian market is the less weak asian market, as its GTI is very close to zero. China (Hang Seng China) is the worst market to be invested in Asia, according to GTI.

S&P 500, Dow jone Industrials, Nasdaq, Russel 2000, Wilshire 5000, Toronto SPTSX, IBOVESPA, MEXBOL and MERVAL are all in bearish mood, according to GTI.
The Global Trader Indicator is less negative in canadian and argentina stocks. Dow Jones and Mexican equitities are the worst places to be invested now.

The Global Trader Indicator is also ver negative on european equities, which is not a surprise.
As I have posted last week, it was not a good place to be invested in. Geographically, CAC seems to be the less negative market to invest now, but it is still in bearish mode, with GTI -0.08. You shall be away from Portugal, as PSI20 got a GTI of -0.38! This is not a surprise, and has this market achieve new lows, many leveraged investors are forced to sale stocks... The perfect place to short the market!

European sectors are mostly bearish. I just want to refer that european media and healthcare are entering in the bullish zone, with GTI's of 0.03 and 0.16, respectively. Off course, one should be carefull buying at this times, but you may want to selectively make some picks in this sectors.

Second Quarter Round


Here I present the performance of the World Financial Markets, measured by Dow Jones Indexes.
You can find that Canada is the new C in BRIC, lol

June 27, 2008

Americas Financial Markets - Morning Call

Another black day to American markets, as it was to the global equity markets.

Was Black, but only for those guys with long positions. There are a lot of folks short in these markets. Global Trader Indicator is still bear for all the markets I monitor.

In the American geographies we predicted that it was a good opportunity to sell all the markets after the FED 's meeting day recovery. (see my post of last Wednesday, 25/06/2008). That day, S&P 500 closed at 1326. Yesterday it closed at 1283.

Off course, after yesterday’s free fall, GTI didn’t become more bullish, as it is mainly a trend follower system.

Standard & Poors 500 has a GTI of -0.25, IBOVESPA has the GTI at -0.29, MEXBOL with a GTI of -0.32, Canadian SPTSX with GTI -0.15 are good examples of one can expect the markets to behave next couple of days.

For now we are already having the worst June since 1930, when measured by Dow Jones Industrials. At that time, we were suffering from the great depression. Now, we are still 3% above the S&P year lows. Most of the European markets are already below those comparable levels.

Most of the European markets are more than 20% below their previous highs, what put those markets in bearish markets. S&P is sill above that trigger line… but I suspect it will not take too much time to break that point (take 1250 as reference).

Another black Monday?

June 26, 2008

EUROPEAN MARKETS GTI

What a day... but i believe that nobody is really surprised with this day.

Most of the european markets closed more than 2% bellow yesterdays closing prices. This is not usual, but is what one may expect when the bearish sentiment is spread among the markets.

Yesterday I wrote some lines, based on my GTI monitoring system, after american indexes closed sharply higher (the biggest rise in two month!) and while asian market were opening higher. You may like to read (http://professor1x2.blogspot.com/2008/06/gti-global-trader-indicator.html) to see that I correctly predicted this sharp correction. I said "keep away", "sell, sell, sell"...

And what should investors expect for the next couple of days? The GTI remains bearish for all the european markets I monitor. I have readings of very extreme values for GTI on Portuguese PSI 20 (-0.42), and Italy MIB (-0.35). Today free fall was not good for all the technicall indicators I use, as they became even more bearish. Markets became cheaper, so it's possible to find some more value than yesterday, but it's not time to buy yet!

Value starts to appear in French CAC and Nordic OMX indexes. One should keep an eye on these two, but only act when the trend revert.

After this day, none of the european sectors remain in bullish GTI zone. Yesterday, healthcare was still with a positive GTI, but this last survivor came bearish today. Still is one of the least bearish sectors, and is among the sectors with more value. One shall also monitor european Oil & Gas and European Insurers (!) for any recovery signal has there is a lot of value here.

European Financial Services, Banks, Home Goods and Telecom. have very bearish GTI values.

Let's see what the markets will tell us tomorrow. I believe that the trends remain bearish so keep on the sidelines.

Feel free to comment this article!

ASIAN MARKETS GTI

I'm writting these lines after european markets closing bell, but american markets are still working.

This morning I wake up with the asian markets closing mostly green. It was not exactly what one could be expecting from my yesterday's post. But most of the markets has only modest gains, Japan even closed below the previous close.

The winners were Australian and Chinese stock markets, with indexes rising more than 1%, but these movements were not enougth to change my view on these markets. GTI remains bearish for these two markets.

But they aren't alone. All the asian indexes I monitor have the GTI (Global Trader Indicator) below 0, so one can expect that more red ink will be used to describe markets in teh following days.

India's SENSEX and Hang Seng Index are the more bearish markets with GTI at -0.16.
Russian RTSI $ with a GTI of -0.01 is the less bearish market in the asian continent.

Please remember that I don't monitor all the asian markets. For the list of monitored markets see my previous post: http://professor1x2.blogspot.com/2008/06/asian-financial-markets-gti.html

I hope to get better news soon!

June 25, 2008

ASIAN FINANCIAL MARKETS GTI

There are not good opportunities to buy stocks in asian markets.at least in the following markets that i studied with the help of the GTI indicator:

- RUSSIAN RTS is probably the best place to be invested in asia. The trend is up, with good strength. No value, so current trend is not supported. GTI -0.01. We may get a buy signal tomorrow...

- NIKKEI 225 has a lot of value inside it. Currently its GTI could be better -0.06, but it is reflecting the difficulty to accurately predict this index during this year.

- KOSPI INDEX -0.09
- TOPIX INDEX -0.13
- BSE SENSEX -0.16
- HANG SENG CHINA ENT INDEX -0.16
- HANG SENG INDEX -0.16
- S&P ASX 200 INDEX -0.31 !!! Keep away from basic materials.

Sorry for this short version on the asian markets but i started to have some problems with my contact lens... GTI cannot help me with that! ;)

I hope you enjoy these insigjths on the daily movements of the major world stock markets. Keep in mind that i am not recommending you to really buy or sell stocks. I just share my view, which may be wrong with you. You may choose to use this or not, but i will not accept any responsability for any kind of loss you my occur.

Fell free to copy paste this article to anywhere, but don't forget to include the reference to the source. (http://professor1x2.blogspot.com).

GTI - Global Trader Indicator

And here we are, near of the year lows... What will hapen now? Will we face a strong recovery, like that seen 2 years ago? Will we have another bear market rally, like the one of april and may? Or will we attend to another bearish movement on concerns regarding stagflation and (more) writedowns?

I believe we are in the eye of the storm. Hold on, the bears are coming back!

I designed one comprehensive indicator that i named GTI, or Global Trader Indicator. This indicator results from the agregation of several other indicators. I included both technical, risk and fundamental metrics. I developed this indicator using an aggregation algorithm very common in the artificial intelligence fields.

GTI is very easy to read, since it is always inside of the -1,+1 interval. Values below 0 are bearish indications and values above 0 are bullish readings. Although GTI is contained inat interval, it usually assumes values between -0.3 and +0.3.

There are 2 nice things about this indicator. One can see why it is giving a bullish or bearish indication and it has been able to give valuable indication in the past.

Give it a chance and read these insights on the world biggest stock exchanges. I will update this report very often, in order to give you the information you need to evaluate these signals by yourself. Don't forget to add this page tou your favorites and come back soon to check this:


- MSCI WORLD is an index that represents worldwide stock markets. GTI had been a good indicator to the mood of this index. And currently, it is signalling that we are in a bearish territory (-0.27). Looking to some components of GTI one can see that there is some value in the world stock market, but the risk is high and most technicall indicators are pointing to south. Today there was some positive evolution in the momentum, but ir remains in negative territory. Keep bear!

- MSCI EMERGING is an index that represents emerging markets stock exchanges. Here we got one of the worst GTI i ever saw! This is the kind of market where you don't want to be during the next days! (-0.38). Keep away! There is no value, risk is high and the bull market is over.

- SWISS MARKET INDEX SMI is the least bearish european market. Still it is the the bearish territory of the GTI (-0.09), mainly because it gained some momentum with today recover. You shall be short even on this market.

- CAC 40 INDEX is the second least bearish european market with a GTI of -0.10. You can find some value in these french stocks, but markets are paying more attention to the high risks. Keep away, you will not regret.

- DAX INDEX is very similar to CAC. With a GTI of -0.10 one can find more value na less risk than in CAC. But for now, sell, sell, sell!

- OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX has a lot of value, but seems that nobody cares! The trend is descending and GTI is also negative (-0.11). Is good to know where the value is, but is not the correct time to buy. Wait, be patient... Some day, the GTI will say: buy!

- DJ STOXX 50 is the pan-european large caps index. There is some value in these stocks, but the trend is sharply bearish.the GTI value is -0.13 and will not be better if the trend persists.

- DJ STOXX 600 is a broader pan-european index. It is very equal to DJ STOXX 50 but with a lower level of value. The GTI is the same at -0.13. This index closed at 296.10.

- IBEX 35 is also in the bearish mood. The GTI is simillar to the pan european indexes, and also is the value trend divergence.

- FTSE 100 also has a lot of value, but ... Who cares about value in this sell off? Wait the timing to buy. At present, the GTI value of -0.14 is an advice to keep away from uk market!

- SP MIB also has a GTI of -0.14 with positive contributions coming from value and momentum indicators. It is a market that you probably will not find appealling for the next several weeks... But we never know! The best thing to do is to keep the GTI number under watch.

- PORTUGAL PSI 20 is the worst european place to be invested in. Is correlated with ll the previous european markets, but has no value! The GTI at a level of -0.22 is meaningful... Isn't it? This summer only look to portugal if you are looking for a sunny weekend!

- ARGENTINA MERVAL INDEX is probably the only place where you can invest nowadays. The GTI of 0.06 reflects a good momentum, despite of the current bearish short term trend. There is some value. So go bullish, pay attention to any loss of momentum or strength. Consult this blog more often.

- NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX / NASDAQ 100 are also with a bearish GTI (-0.03). Some value, and here people seems to care about it! With lower risks or short term trend reversal we will se a buy here. But not today.

- RUSSEL 2000 has also the GTI at -0.03. Low value but also low risk. Gaining some momentum, but still negative. May be a buy, if short term trend reverses.

- MEXICO BOLSA and BRAZIL BOVESPA have the same GTI (-0.07), but I prefer brazil, as the least worst. But you will not want to have your money here. There is no value and th party is over!

- SP 500 has the GTI in bearish territory (-0.13). Despite some value, ignored by the markets, probably expecting more earnings revisions, high risk and bearish momentum are driving the market south. This market is currently at 1326. Sell!

- SPTSX COMPOSITE INDEX is the canadian index. I am an admirer of the canadian economy, but GTI is not bullish on its stock market. Sell canadian stocks... The GTI is -0.17 worst than yesterday because the trend is now worst...

June 20, 2008

My bookstore

Looking for investment books? search on my selected list of usefull investing books.

http://astore.amazon.co.uk/pensamentos-21

I tried to collect here some of the books I liked most, covering fields like investing, finance, computer science, machine learning, artificial inteligence, quantitative methods, neural networks, decision trees, genetic algorithms, technical analisys, statistic methods, econometrics, ...

All you need to know to become a sucessfull investor... but it's not a short list!

Summer Holidays? Get some books to read...

"1001 Books You Must Read Before You Die"

2000s
Never Let Me Go – Kazuo Ishiguro
Saturday – Ian McEwan
On Beauty – Zadie Smith
Slow Man – J.M. Coetzee
Adjunct: An Undigest – Peter Manson
The Sea – John Banville
The Red Queen – Margaret Drabble
The Plot Against America – Philip Roth
The Master – Colm Tóibín
Vanishing Point – David Markson
The Lambs of London – Peter Ackroyd
Dining on Stones – Iain Sinclair
Cloud Atlas – David Mitchell
Drop City – T. Coraghessan Boyle
The Colour – Rose Tremain
Thursbitch – Alan Garner
The Light of Day – Graham Swift
What I Loved – Siri Hustvedt
The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time – Mark Haddon
Islands – Dan Sleigh
Elizabeth Costello – J.M. Coetzee
London Orbital – Iain Sinclair
Family Matters – Rohinton Mistry
Fingersmith – Sarah Waters
The Double – José Saramago
Everything is Illuminated – Jonathan Safran Foer
Unless – Carol Shields
Kafka on the Shore – Haruki Murakami
The Story of Lucy Gault – William Trevor
That They May Face the Rising Sun – John McGahern
In the Forest – Edna O’Brien
Shroud – John Banville
Middlesex – Jeffrey Eugenides
Youth – J.M. Coetzee
Dead Air – Iain Banks
Nowhere Man – Aleksandar Hemon
The Book of Illusions – Paul Auster
Gabriel’s Gift – Hanif Kureishi
Austerlitz – W.G. Sebald
Platform – Michael Houellebecq
Schooling – Heather McGowan
Atonement – Ian McEwan
The Corrections – Jonathan Franzen
Don’t Move – Margaret Mazzantini
The Body Artist – Don DeLillo
Fury – Salman Rushdie
At Swim, Two Boys – Jamie O’Neill
Choke – Chuck Palahniuk
Life of Pi – Yann Martel
The Feast of the Goat – Mario Vargos Llosa
An Obedient Father – Akhil Sharma
The Devil and Miss Prym – Paulo Coelho
Spring Flowers, Spring Frost – Ismail Kadare
White Teeth – Zadie Smith
The Heart of Redness – Zakes Mda
Under the Skin – Michel Faber
Ignorance – Milan Kundera
Nineteen Seventy Seven – David Peace
Celestial Harmonies – Péter Esterházy
City of God – E.L. Doctorow
How the Dead Live – Will Self
The Human Stain – Philip Roth
The Blind Assassin – Margaret Atwood
After the Quake – Haruki Murakami
Small Remedies – Shashi Deshpande
Super-Cannes – J.G. Ballard
House of Leaves – Mark Z. Danielewski
Blonde – Joyce Carol Oates
Pastoralia – George Saunders
1900s
Timbuktu – Paul Auster
The Romantics – Pankaj Mishra
Cryptonomicon – Neal Stephenson
As If I Am Not There – Slavenka Drakuli?
Everything You Need – A.L. Kennedy
Fear and Trembling – Amélie Nothomb
The Ground Beneath Her Feet – Salman Rushdie
Disgrace – J.M. Coetzee
Sputnik Sweetheart – Haruki Murakami
Elementary Particles – Michel Houellebecq
Intimacy – Hanif Kureishi
Amsterdam – Ian McEwan
Cloudsplitter – Russell Banks
All Souls Day – Cees Nooteboom
The Talk of the Town – Ardal O’Hanlon
Tipping the Velvet – Sarah Waters
The Poisonwood Bible – Barbara Kingsolver
Glamorama – Bret Easton Ellis
Another World – Pat Barker
The Hours – Michael Cunningham
Veronika Decides to Die – Paulo Coelho
Mason & Dixon – Thomas Pynchon
The God of Small Things – Arundhati Roy
Memoirs of a Geisha – Arthur Golden
Great Apes – Will Self
Enduring Love – Ian McEwan
Underworld – Don DeLillo
Jack Maggs – Peter Carey
The Life of Insects – Victor Pelevin
American Pastoral – Philip Roth
The Untouchable – John Banville
Silk – Alessandro Baricco
Cocaine Nights – J.G. Ballard
Hallucinating Foucault – Patricia Duncker
Fugitive Pieces – Anne Michaels
The Ghost Road – Pat Barker
Forever a Stranger – Hella Haasse
Infinite Jest – David Foster Wallace
The Clay Machine-Gun – Victor Pelevin
Alias Grace – Margaret Atwood
The Unconsoled – Kazuo Ishiguro
Morvern Callar – Alan Warner
The Information – Martin Amis
The Moor’s Last Sigh – Salman Rushdie
Sabbath’s Theater – Philip Roth
The Rings of Saturn – W.G. Sebald
The Reader – Bernhard Schlink
A Fine Balance – Rohinton Mistry
Love’s Work – Gillian Rose
The End of the Story – Lydia Davis
Mr. Vertigo – Paul Auster
The Folding Star – Alan Hollinghurst
Whatever – Michel Houellebecq
Land – Park Kyong-ni
The Master of Petersburg – J.M. Coetzee
The Wind-Up Bird Chronicle – Haruki Murakami
Pereira Declares: A Testimony – Antonio Tabucchi
City Sister Silver – Jàchym Topol
How Late It Was, How Late – James Kelman
Captain Corelli’s Mandolin – Louis de Bernieres
Felicia’s Journey – William Trevor
Disappearance – David Dabydeen
The Invention of Curried Sausage – Uwe Timm
The Shipping News – E. Annie Proulx
Trainspotting – Irvine Welsh
Birdsong – Sebastian Faulks
Looking for the Possible Dance – A.L. Kennedy
Operation Shylock – Philip Roth
Complicity – Iain Banks
On Love – Alain de Botton
What a Carve Up! – Jonathan Coe
A Suitable Boy – Vikram Seth
The Stone Diaries – Carol Shields
The Virgin Suicides – Jeffrey Eugenides
The House of Doctor Dee – Peter Ackroyd
The Robber Bride – Margaret Atwood
The Emigrants – W.G. Sebald
The Secret History – Donna Tartt
Life is a Caravanserai – Emine Özdamar
The Discovery of Heaven – Harry Mulisch
A Heart So White – Javier Marias
Possessing the Secret of Joy – Alice Walker
Indigo – Marina Warner
The Crow Road – Iain Banks
Written on the Body – Jeanette Winterson
Jazz – Toni Morrison
The English Patient – Michael Ondaatje
Smilla’s Sense of Snow – Peter Høeg
The Butcher Boy – Patrick McCabe
Black Water – Joyce Carol Oates
The Heather Blazing – Colm Tóibín
Asphodel – H.D. (Hilda Doolittle)
Black Dogs – Ian McEwan
Hideous Kinky – Esther Freud
Arcadia – Jim Crace
Wild Swans – Jung Chang
American Psycho – Bret Easton Ellis
Time’s Arrow – Martin Amis
Mao II – Don DeLillo
Typical – Padgett Powell
Regeneration – Pat Barker
Downriver – Iain Sinclair
Señor Vivo and the Coca Lord – Louis de Bernieres
Wise Children – Angela Carter
Get Shorty – Elmore Leonard
Amongst Women – John McGahern
Vineland – Thomas Pynchon
Vertigo – W.G. Sebald
Stone Junction – Jim Dodge
The Music of Chance – Paul Auster
The Things They Carried – Tim O’Brien
A Home at the End of the World – Michael Cunningham
Like Life – Lorrie Moore
Possession – A.S. Byatt
The Buddha of Suburbia – Hanif Kureishi
The Midnight Examiner – William Kotzwinkle
A Disaffection – James Kelman
Sexing the Cherry – Jeanette Winterson
Moon Palace – Paul Auster
Billy Bathgate – E.L. Doctorow
Remains of the Day – Kazuo Ishiguro
The Melancholy of Resistance – László Krasznahorkai
The Temple of My Familiar – Alice Walker
The Trick is to Keep Breathing – Janice Galloway
The History of the Siege of Lisbon – José Saramago
Like Water for Chocolate – Laura Esquivel
A Prayer for Owen Meany – John Irving
London Fields – Martin Amis
The Book of Evidence – John Banville
Cat’s Eye – Margaret Atwood
Foucault’s Pendulum – Umberto Eco
The Beautiful Room is Empty – Edmund White
Wittgenstein’s Mistress – David Markson
The Satanic Verses – Salman Rushdie
The Swimming-Pool Library – Alan Hollinghurst
Oscar and Lucinda – Peter Carey
Libra – Don DeLillo
The Player of Games – Iain M. Banks
Nervous Conditions – Tsitsi Dangarembga
The Long Dark Teatime of the Soul – Douglas Adams
Dirk Gently’s Holistic Detective Agency – Douglas Adams
The Radiant Way – Margaret Drabble
The Afternoon of a Writer – Peter Handke
The Black Dahlia – James Ellroy
The Passion – Jeanette Winterson
The Pigeon – Patrick Süskind
The Child in Time – Ian McEwan
Cigarettes – Harry Mathews
The Bonfire of the Vanities – Tom Wolfe
The New York Trilogy – Paul Auster
World’s End – T. Coraghessan Boyle
Enigma of Arrival – V.S. Naipaul
The Taebek Mountains – Jo Jung-rae
Beloved – Toni Morrison
Anagrams – Lorrie Moore
Matigari – Ngugi Wa Thiong’o
Marya – Joyce Carol Oates
Watchmen – Alan Moore & David Gibbons
The Old Devils – Kingsley Amis
Lost Language of Cranes – David Leavitt
An Artist of the Floating World – Kazuo Ishiguro
Extinction – Thomas Bernhard
Foe – J.M. Coetzee
The Drowned and the Saved – Primo Levi
Reasons to Live – Amy Hempel
The Parable of the Blind – Gert Hofmann
Love in the Time of Cholera – Gabriel García Márquez
Oranges Are Not the Only Fruit – Jeanette Winterson
The Cider House Rules – John Irving
A Maggot – John Fowles
Less Than Zero – Bret Easton Ellis
Contact – Carl Sagan
The Handmaid’s Tale – Margaret Atwood
Perfume – Patrick Süskind
Old Masters – Thomas Bernhard
White Noise – Don DeLillo
Queer – William Burroughs
Hawksmoor – Peter Ackroyd
Legend – David Gemmell
Dictionary of the Khazars – Milorad Pavi?
The Bus Conductor Hines – James Kelman
The Year of the Death of Ricardo Reis – José Saramago
The Lover – Marguerite Duras
Empire of the Sun – J.G. Ballard
The Wasp Factory – Iain Banks
Nights at the Circus – Angela Carter
The Unbearable Lightness of Being – Milan Kundera
Blood and Guts in High School – Kathy Acker
Neuromancer – William Gibson
Flaubert’s Parrot – Julian Barnes
Money: A Suicide Note – Martin Amis
Shame – Salman Rushdie
Worstward Ho – Samuel Beckett
Fools of Fortune – William Trevor
La Brava – Elmore Leonard
Waterland – Graham Swift
The Life and Times of Michael K – J.M. Coetzee
The Diary of Jane Somers – Doris Lessing
The Piano Teacher – Elfriede Jelinek
The Sorrow of Belgium – Hugo Claus
If Not Now, When? – Primo Levi
A Boy’s Own Story – Edmund White
The Color Purple – Alice Walker
Wittgenstein’s Nephew – Thomas Bernhard
A Pale View of Hills – Kazuo Ishiguro
Schindler’s Ark – Thomas Keneally
The House of the Spirits – Isabel Allende
The Newton Letter – John Banville
On the Black Hill – Bruce Chatwin
Concrete – Thomas Bernhard
The Names – Don DeLillo
Rabbit is Rich – John Updike
Lanark: A Life in Four Books – Alasdair Gray
The Comfort of Strangers – Ian McEwan
July’s People – Nadine Gordimer
Summer in Baden-Baden – Leonid Tsypkin
Broken April – Ismail Kadare
Waiting for the Barbarians – J.M. Coetzee
Midnight’s Children – Salman Rushdie
Rites of Passage – William Golding
Rituals – Cees Nooteboom
Confederacy of Dunces – John Kennedy Toole
City Primeval – Elmore Leonard
The Name of the Rose – Umberto Eco
The Book of Laughter and Forgetting – Milan Kundera
Smiley’s People – John Le Carré
Shikasta – Doris Lessing
A Bend in the River – V.S. Naipaul
Burger’s Daughter - Nadine Gordimer
The Safety Net – Heinrich Böll
If On a Winter’s Night a Traveler – Italo Calvino
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy – Douglas Adams
The Cement Garden – Ian McEwan
The World According to Garp – John Irving
Life: A User’s Manual – Georges Perec
The Sea, The Sea – Iris Murdoch
The Singapore Grip – J.G. Farrell
Yes – Thomas Bernhard
The Virgin in the Garden – A.S. Byatt
In the Heart of the Country – J.M. Coetzee
The Passion of New Eve – Angela Carter
Delta of Venus – Anaïs Nin
The Shining – Stephen King
Dispatches – Michael Herr
Petals of Blood – Ngugi Wa Thiong’o
Song of Solomon – Toni Morrison
The Hour of the Star – Clarice Lispector
The Left-Handed Woman – Peter Handke
Ratner’s Star – Don DeLillo
The Public Burning – Robert Coover
Interview With the Vampire – Anne Rice
Cutter and Bone – Newton Thornburg
Amateurs – Donald Barthelme
Patterns of Childhood – Christa Wolf
Autumn of the Patriarch – Gabriel García Márquez
W, or the Memory of Childhood – Georges Perec
A Dance to the Music of Time – Anthony Powell
Grimus – Salman Rushdie
The Dead Father – Donald Barthelme
Fateless – Imre Kertész
Willard and His Bowling Trophies – Richard Brautigan
High Rise – J.G. Ballard
Humboldt’s Gift – Saul Bellow
Dead Babies – Martin Amis
Correction – Thomas Bernhard
Ragtime – E.L. Doctorow
The Fan Man – William Kotzwinkle
Dusklands – J.M. Coetzee
The Lost Honor of Katharina Blum – Heinrich Böll
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy – John Le Carré
Breakfast of Champions – Kurt Vonnegut, Jr.
Fear of Flying – Erica Jong
A Question of Power – Bessie Head
The Siege of Krishnapur – J.G. Farrell
The Castle of Crossed Destinies – Italo Calvino
Crash – J.G. Ballard
The Honorary Consul – Graham Greene
Gravity’s Rainbow – Thomas Pynchon
The Black Prince – Iris Murdoch
Sula – Toni Morrison
Invisible Cities – Italo Calvino
The Breast – Philip Roth
The Summer Book – Tove Jansson
G – John Berger
Surfacing – Margaret Atwood
House Mother Normal – B.S. Johnson
In A Free State – V.S. Naipaul
The Book of Daniel – E.L. Doctorow
Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas – Hunter S. Thompson
Group Portrait With Lady – Heinrich Böll
The Wild Boys – William Burroughs
Rabbit Redux – John Updike
The Sea of Fertility – Yukio Mishima
The Driver’s Seat – Muriel Spark
The Ogre – Michael Tournier
The Bluest Eye – Toni Morrison
Goalie’s Anxiety at the Penalty Kick – Peter Handke
I Know Why the Caged Bird Sings – Maya Angelou
Mercier et Camier – Samuel Beckett
Troubles – J.G. Farrell
Jahrestage – Uwe Johnson
The Atrocity Exhibition – J.G. Ballard
Tent of Miracles – Jorge Amado
Pricksongs and Descants – Robert Coover
Blind Man With a Pistol – Chester Hines
Slaughterhouse-five – Kurt Vonnegut, Jr.
The French Lieutenant’s Woman – John Fowles
The Green Man – Kingsley Amis
Portnoy’s Complaint – Philip Roth
The Godfather – Mario Puzo
Ada – Vladimir Nabokov
Them – Joyce Carol Oates
A Void/Avoid – Georges Perec
Eva Trout – Elizabeth Bowen
Myra Breckinridge – Gore Vidal
The Nice and the Good – Iris Murdoch
Belle du Seigneur – Albert Cohen
Cancer Ward – Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn
The First Circle – Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn
2001: A Space Odyssey – Arthur C. Clarke
Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep? – Philip K. Dick
Dark as the Grave Wherein My Friend is Laid – Malcolm Lowry
The German Lesson – Siegfried Lenz
In Watermelon Sugar – Richard Brautigan
A Kestrel for a Knave – Barry Hines
The Quest for Christa T. – Christa Wolf
Chocky – John Wyndham
The Electric Kool-Aid Acid Test – Tom Wolfe
The Cubs and Other Stories – Mario Vargas Llosa
One Hundred Years of Solitude - Gabriel García Márquez
The Master and Margarita – Mikhail Bulgakov
Pilgrimage – Dorothy Richardson
The Joke – Milan Kundera
No Laughing Matter – Angus Wilson
The Third Policeman – Flann O’Brien
A Man Asleep – Georges Perec
The Birds Fall Down – Rebecca West
Trawl – B.S. Johnson
In Cold Blood – Truman Capote
The Magus – John Fowles
The Vice-Consul – Marguerite Duras
Wide Sargasso Sea – Jean Rhys
Giles Goat-Boy – John Barth
The Crying of Lot 49 – Thomas Pynchon
Things – Georges Perec
The River Between – Ngugi wa Thiong’o
August is a Wicked Month – Edna O’Brien
God Bless You, Mr. Rosewater – Kurt Vonnegut
Everything That Rises Must Converge – Flannery O’Connor
The Passion According to G.H. – Clarice Lispector
Sometimes a Great Notion – Ken Kesey
Come Back, Dr. Caligari – Donald Bartholme
Albert Angelo – B.S. Johnson
Arrow of God – Chinua Achebe
The Ravishing of Lol V. Stein – Marguerite Duras
Herzog – Saul Bellow
V. – Thomas Pynchon
Cat’s Cradle – Kurt Vonnegut
The Graduate – Charles Webb
Manon des Sources – Marcel Pagnol
The Spy Who Came in from the Cold – John Le Carré
The Girls of Slender Means – Muriel Spark
Inside Mr. Enderby – Anthony Burgess
The Bell Jar – Sylvia Plath
One Day in the Life of Ivan Denisovich – Aleksandr Isayevich Solzhenitsyn
The Collector – John Fowles
One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest – Ken Kesey
A Clockwork Orange – Anthony Burgess
Pale Fire – Vladimir Nabokov
The Drowned World – J.G. Ballard
The Golden Notebook – Doris Lessing
Labyrinths – Jorg Luis Borges
Girl With Green Eyes – Edna O’Brien
The Garden of the Finzi-Continis – Giorgio Bassani
Stranger in a Strange Land – Robert Heinlein
Franny and Zooey – J.D. Salinger
A Severed Head – Iris Murdoch
Faces in the Water – Janet Frame
Solaris – Stanislaw Lem
Cat and Mouse – Günter Grass
The Prime of Miss Jean Brodie – Muriel Spark
Catch-22 – Joseph Heller
The Violent Bear it Away – Flannery O’Connor
How It Is – Samuel Beckett
Our Ancestors – Italo Calvino
The Country Girls – Edna O’Brien
To Kill a Mockingbird – Harper Lee
Rabbit, Run – John Updike
Promise at Dawn – Romain Gary
Cider With Rosie – Laurie Lee
Billy Liar – Keith Waterhouse
Naked Lunch – William Burroughs
The Tin Drum – Günter Grass
Absolute Beginners – Colin MacInnes
Henderson the Rain King – Saul Bellow
Memento Mori – Muriel Spark
Billiards at Half-Past Nine – Heinrich Böll
Breakfast at Tiffany’s – Truman Capote
The Leopard – Giuseppe Tomasi di Lampedusa
Pluck the Bud and Destroy the Offspring – Kenzaburo Oe
A Town Like Alice – Nevil Shute
The Bitter Glass – Eilís Dillon
Things Fall Apart – Chinua Achebe
Saturday Night and Sunday Morning – Alan Sillitoe
Mrs. ‘Arris Goes to Paris – Paul Gallico
Borstal Boy – Brendan Behan
The End of the Road – John Barth
The Once and Future King – T.H. White
The Bell – Iris Murdoch
Jealousy – Alain Robbe-Grillet
Voss – Patrick White
The Midwich Cuckoos – John Wyndham
Blue Noon – Georges Bataille
Homo Faber – Max Frisch
On the Road – Jack Kerouac
Pnin – Vladimir Nabokov
Doctor Zhivago – Boris Pasternak
The Wonderful “O” – James Thurber
Justine – Lawrence Durrell
Giovanni’s Room – James Baldwin
The Lonely Londoners – Sam Selvon
The Roots of Heaven – Romain Gary
Seize the Day – Saul Bellow
The Floating Opera – John Barth
The Lord of the Rings – J.R.R. Tolkien
The Talented Mr. Ripley – Patricia Highsmith
Lolita – Vladimir Nabokov
A World of Love – Elizabeth Bowen
The Trusting and the Maimed – James Plunkett
The Quiet American – Graham Greene
The Last Temptation of Christ – Nikos Kazantzákis
The Recognitions – William Gaddis
The Ragazzi – Pier Paulo Pasolini
Bonjour Tristesse – Françoise Sagan
I’m Not Stiller – Max Frisch
Self Condemned – Wyndham Lewis
The Story of O – Pauline Réage
A Ghost at Noon – Alberto Moravia
Lord of the Flies – William Golding
Under the Net – Iris Murdoch
The Go-Between – L.P. Hartley
The Long Goodbye – Raymond Chandler
The Unnamable – Samuel Beckett
Watt – Samuel Beckett
Lucky Jim – Kingsley Amis
Junkie – William Burroughs
The Adventures of Augie March – Saul Bellow
Go Tell It on the Mountain – James Baldwin
Casino Royale – Ian Fleming
The Judge and His Hangman – Friedrich Dürrenmatt
Invisible Man – Ralph Ellison
The Old Man and the Sea – Ernest Hemingway
Wise Blood – Flannery O’Connor
The Killer Inside Me – Jim Thompson
Memoirs of Hadrian – Marguerite Yourcenar
Malone Dies – Samuel Beckett
Day of the Triffids – John Wyndham
Foundation – Isaac Asimov
The Opposing Shore – Julien Gracq
The Catcher in the Rye – J.D. Salinger
The Rebel – Albert Camus
Molloy – Samuel Beckett
The End of the Affair – Graham Greene
The Abbot C – Georges Bataille
The Labyrinth of Solitude – Octavio Paz
The Third Man – Graham Greene
The 13 Clocks – James Thurber
Gormenghast – Mervyn Peake
The Grass is Singing – Doris Lessing
I, Robot – Isaac Asimov
The Moon and the Bonfires – Cesare Pavese
The Garden Where the Brass Band Played – Simon Vestdijk
Love in a Cold Climate – Nancy Mitford
The Case of Comrade Tulayev – Victor Serge
The Heat of the Day – Elizabeth Bowen
Kingdom of This World – Alejo Carpentier
The Man With the Golden Arm – Nelson Algren
Nineteen Eighty-Four – George Orwell
All About H. Hatterr – G.V. Desani
Disobedience – Alberto Moravia
Death Sentence – Maurice Blanchot
The Heart of the Matter – Graham Greene
Cry, the Beloved Country – Alan Paton
Doctor Faustus – Thomas Mann
The Victim – Saul Bellow
Exercises in Style – Raymond Queneau
If This Is a Man – Primo Levi
Under the Volcano – Malcolm Lowry
The Path to the Nest of Spiders – Italo Calvino
The Plague – Albert Camus
Back – Henry Green
Titus Groan – Mervyn Peake
The Bridge on the Drina – Ivo Andri?
Brideshead Revisited – Evelyn Waugh
Animal Farm – George Orwell
Cannery Row – John Steinbeck
The Pursuit of Love – Nancy Mitford
Loving – Henry Green
Arcanum 17 – André Breton
Christ Stopped at Eboli – Carlo Levi
The Razor’s Edge – William Somerset Maugham
Transit – Anna Seghers
Ficciones – Jorge Luis Borges
Dangling Man – Saul Bellow
The Little Prince – Antoine de Saint-Exupéry
Caught – Henry Green
The Glass Bead Game – Herman Hesse
Embers – Sandor Marai
Go Down, Moses – William Faulkner
The Outsider – Albert Camus
In Sicily – Elio Vittorini
The Poor Mouth – Flann O’Brien
The Living and the Dead – Patrick White
Hangover Square – Patrick Hamilton
Between the Acts – Virginia Woolf
The Hamlet – William Faulkner
Farewell My Lovely – Raymond Chandler
For Whom the Bell Tolls – Ernest Hemingway
Native Son – Richard Wright
The Power and the Glory – Graham Greene
The Tartar Steppe – Dino Buzzati
Party Going – Henry Green
The Grapes of Wrath – John Steinbeck
Finnegans Wake – James Joyce
At Swim-Two-Birds – Flann O’Brien
Coming Up for Air – George Orwell
Goodbye to Berlin – Christopher Isherwood
Tropic of Capricorn – Henry Miller
Good Morning, Midnight – Jean Rhys
The Big Sleep – Raymond Chandler
After the Death of Don Juan – Sylvie Townsend Warner
Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day – Winifred Watson
Nausea – Jean-Paul Sartre
Rebecca – Daphne du Maurier
Cause for Alarm – Eric Ambler
Brighton Rock – Graham Greene
U.S.A. – John Dos Passos
Murphy – Samuel Beckett
Of Mice and Men – John Steinbeck
Their Eyes Were Watching God – Zora Neale Hurston
The Hobbit – J.R.R. Tolkien
The Years – Virginia Woolf
In Parenthesis – David Jones
The Revenge for Love – Wyndham Lewis
Out of Africa – Isak Dineson (Karen Blixen)
To Have and Have Not – Ernest Hemingway
Summer Will Show – Sylvia Townsend Warner
Eyeless in Gaza – Aldous Huxley
The Thinking Reed – Rebecca West
Gone With the Wind – Margaret Mitchell
Keep the Aspidistra Flying – George Orwell
Wild Harbour – Ian MacPherson
Absalom, Absalom! – William Faulkner
At the Mountains of Madness – H.P. Lovecraft
Nightwood – Djuna Barnes
Independent People – Halldór Laxness
Auto-da-Fé – Elias Canetti
The Last of Mr. Norris – Christopher Isherwood
They Shoot Horses, Don’t They? – Horace McCoy
The House in Paris – Elizabeth Bowen
England Made Me – Graham Greene
Burmese Days – George Orwell
The Nine Tailors – Dorothy L. Sayers
Threepenny Novel – Bertolt Brecht
Novel With Cocaine – M. Ageyev
The Postman Always Rings Twice – James M. Cain
Tropic of Cancer – Henry Miller
A Handful of Dust – Evelyn Waugh
Tender is the Night – F. Scott Fitzgerald
Thank You, Jeeves – P.G. Wodehouse
Call it Sleep – Henry Roth
Miss Lonelyhearts – Nathanael West
Murder Must Advertise – Dorothy L. Sayers
The Autobiography of Alice B. Toklas – Gertrude Stein
Testament of Youth – Vera Brittain
A Day Off – Storm Jameson
The Man Without Qualities – Robert Musil
A Scots Quair (Sunset Song) – Lewis Grassic Gibbon
Journey to the End of the Night – Louis-Ferdinand Céline
Brave New World – Aldous Huxley
Cold Comfort Farm – Stella Gibbons
To the North – Elizabeth Bowen
The Thin Man – Dashiell Hammett
The Radetzky March – Joseph Roth
The Waves – Virginia Woolf
The Glass Key – Dashiell Hammett
Cakes and Ale – W. Somerset Maugham
The Apes of God – Wyndham Lewis
Her Privates We – Frederic Manning
Vile Bodies – Evelyn Waugh
The Maltese Falcon – Dashiell Hammett
Hebdomeros – Giorgio de Chirico
Passing – Nella Larsen
A Farewell to Arms – Ernest Hemingway
Red Harvest – Dashiell Hammett
Living – Henry Green
The Time of Indifference – Alberto Moravia
All Quiet on the Western Front – Erich Maria Remarque
Berlin Alexanderplatz – Alfred Döblin
The Last September – Elizabeth Bowen
Harriet Hume – Rebecca West
The Sound and the Fury – William Faulkner
Les Enfants Terribles – Jean Cocteau
Look Homeward, Angel – Thomas Wolfe
Story of the Eye – Georges Bataille
Orlando – Virginia Woolf
Lady Chatterley’s Lover – D.H. Lawrence
The Well of Loneliness – Radclyffe Hall
The Childermass – Wyndham Lewis
Quartet – Jean Rhys
Decline and Fall – Evelyn Waugh
Quicksand – Nella Larsen
Parade’s End – Ford Madox Ford
Nadja – André Breton
Steppenwolf – Herman Hesse
Remembrance of Things Past – Marcel Proust
To The Lighthouse – Virginia Woolf
Tarka the Otter – Henry Williamson
Amerika – Franz Kafka
The Sun Also Rises – Ernest Hemingway
Blindness – Henry Green
The Castle – Franz Kafka
The Good Soldier Å vejk – Jaroslav HaÅ¡ek
The Plumed Serpent – D.H. Lawrence
One, None and a Hundred Thousand – Luigi Pirandello
The Murder of Roger Ackroyd – Agatha Christie
The Making of Americans – Gertrude Stein
Manhattan Transfer – John Dos Passos
Mrs. Dalloway – Virginia Woolf
The Great Gatsby – F. Scott Fitzgerald
The Counterfeiters – André Gide
The Trial – Franz Kafka
The Artamonov Business – Maxim Gorky
The Professor’s House – Willa Cather
Billy Budd, Foretopman – Herman Melville
The Green Hat – Michael Arlen
The Magic Mountain – Thomas Mann
We – Yevgeny Zamyatin
A Passage to India – E.M. Forster
The Devil in the Flesh – Raymond Radiguet
Zeno’s Conscience – Italo Svevo
Cane – Jean Toomer
Antic Hay – Aldous Huxley
Amok – Stefan Zweig
The Garden Party – Katherine Mansfield
The Enormous Room – E.E. Cummings
Jacob’s Room – Virginia Woolf
Siddhartha – Herman Hesse
The Glimpses of the Moon – Edith Wharton
Life and Death of Harriett Frean – May Sinclair
The Last Days of Humanity – Karl Kraus
Aaron’s Rod – D.H. Lawrence
Babbitt – Sinclair Lewis
Ulysses – James Joyce
The Fox – D.H. Lawrence
Crome Yellow – Aldous Huxley
The Age of Innocence – Edith Wharton
Main Street – Sinclair Lewis
Women in Love – D.H. Lawrence
Night and Day – Virginia Woolf
Tarr – Wyndham Lewis
The Return of the Soldier – Rebecca West
The Shadow Line – Joseph Conrad
Summer – Edith Wharton
Growth of the Soil – Knut Hamsen
Bunner Sisters – Edith Wharton
A Portrait of the Artist as a Young Man – James Joyce
Under Fire – Henri Barbusse
Rashomon – Akutagawa Ryunosuke
The Good Soldier – Ford Madox Ford
The Voyage Out – Virginia Woolf
Of Human Bondage – William Somerset Maugham
The Rainbow – D.H. Lawrence
The Thirty-Nine Steps – John Buchan
Kokoro – Natsume Soseki
Locus Solus – Raymond Roussel
Rosshalde – Herman Hesse
Tarzan of the Apes – Edgar Rice Burroughs
The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists – Robert Tressell
Sons and Lovers – D.H. Lawrence
Death in Venice – Thomas Mann
The Charwoman’s Daughter – James Stephens
Ethan Frome – Edith Wharton
Fantômas – Marcel Allain and Pierre Souvestre
Howards End – E.M. Forster
Impressions of Africa – Raymond Roussel
Three Lives – Gertrude Stein
Martin Eden – Jack London
Strait is the Gate – André Gide
Tono-Bungay – H.G. Wells
The Inferno – Henri Barbusse
A Room With a View – E.M. Forster
The Iron Heel – Jack London
The Old Wives’ Tale – Arnold Bennett
The House on the Borderland – William Hope Hodgson
Mother – Maxim Gorky
The Secret Agent – Joseph Conrad
The Jungle – Upton Sinclair
Young Törless – Robert Musil
The Forsyte Sage – John Galsworthy
The House of Mirth – Edith Wharton
Professor Unrat – Heinrich Mann
Where Angels Fear to Tread – E.M. Forster
Nostromo – Joseph Conrad
Hadrian the Seventh – Frederick Rolfe
The Golden Bowl – Henry James
The Ambassadors – Henry James
The Riddle of the Sands – Erskine Childers
The Immoralist – André Gide
The Wings of the Dove – Henry James
Heart of Darkness – Joseph Conrad
The Hound of the Baskervilles – Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
Buddenbrooks – Thomas Mann
Kim – Rudyard Kipling
Sister Carrie – Theodore Dreiser
Lord Jim – Joseph Conrad
1800s
Some Experiences of an Irish R.M. – Somerville and Ross
The Stechlin – Theodore Fontane
The Awakening – Kate Chopin
The Turn of the Screw – Henry James
The War of the Worlds – H.G. Wells
The Invisible Man – H.G. Wells
What Maisie Knew – Henry James
Fruits of the Earth – André Gide
Dracula – Bram Stoker
Quo Vadis – Henryk Sienkiewicz
The Island of Dr. Moreau – H.G. Wells
The Time Machine – H.G. Wells
Effi Briest – Theodore Fontane
Jude the Obscure – Thomas Hardy
The Real Charlotte – Somerville and Ross
The Yellow Wallpaper – Charlotte Perkins Gilman
Born in Exile – George Gissing
Diary of a Nobody – George & Weedon Grossmith
The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes – Sir Arthur Conan Doyle
News from Nowhere – William Morris
New Grub Street – George Gissing
Gösta Berling’s Saga – Selma Lagerlöf
Tess of the D’Urbervilles – Thomas Hardy
The Picture of Dorian Gray – Oscar Wilde
The Kreutzer Sonata – Leo Tolstoy
La Bête Humaine – Émile Zola
By the Open Sea – August Strindberg
Hunger – Knut Hamsun
The Master of Ballantrae – Robert Louis Stevenson
Pierre and Jean – Guy de Maupassant
Fortunata and Jacinta – Benito Pérez Galdés
The People of Hemsö – August Strindberg
The Woodlanders – Thomas Hardy
She – H. Rider Haggard
The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde – Robert Louis Stevenson
The Mayor of Casterbridge – Thomas Hardy
Kidnapped – Robert Louis Stevenson
King Solomon’s Mines – H. Rider Haggard
Germinal – Émile Zola
The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn – Mark Twain
Bel-Ami – Guy de Maupassant
Marius the Epicurean – Walter Pater
Against the Grain – Joris-Karl Huysmans
The Death of Ivan Ilyich – Leo Tolstoy
A Woman’s Life – Guy de Maupassant
Treasure Island – Robert Louis Stevenson
The House by the Medlar Tree – Giovanni Verga
The Portrait of a Lady – Henry James
Bouvard and Pécuchet – Gustave Flaubert
Ben-Hur – Lew Wallace
Nana – Émile Zola
The Brothers Karamazov – Fyodor Dostoevsky
The Red Room – August Strindberg
Return of the Native – Thomas Hardy
Anna Karenina – Leo Tolstoy
Drunkard – Émile Zola
Virgin Soil – Ivan Turgenev
Daniel Deronda – George Eliot
The Hand of Ethelberta – Thomas Hardy
The Temptation of Saint Anthony – Gustave Flaubert
Far from the Madding Crowd – Thomas Hardy
The Enchanted Wanderer – Nicolai Leskov
Around the World in Eighty Days – Jules Verne
In a Glass Darkly – Sheridan Le Fanu
The Devils – Fyodor Dostoevsky
Erewhon – Samuel Butler
Spring Torrents – Ivan Turgenev
Middlemarch – George Eliot
Through the Looking Glass, and What Alice Found There – Lewis Carroll
King Lear of the Steppes – Ivan Turgenev
He Knew He Was Right – Anthony Trollope
War and Peace – Leo Tolstoy
Sentimental Education – Gustave Flaubert
Phineas Finn – Anthony Trollope
Maldoror – Comte de Lautréaumont
The Idiot – Fyodor Dostoevsky
The Moonstone – Wilkie Collins
Little Women – Louisa May Alcott
Thérèse Raquin – Émile Zola
The Last Chronicle of Barset – Anthony Trollope
Journey to the Centre of the Earth – Jules Verne
Crime and Punishment – Fyodor Dostoevsky
Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland – Lewis Carroll
Our Mutual Friend – Charles Dickens
Uncle Silas – Sheridan Le Fanu
Notes from the Underground – Fyodor Dostoevsky
The Water-Babies – Charles Kingsley
Les Misérables – Victor Hugo
Fathers and Sons – Ivan Turgenev
Silas Marner – George Eliot
Great Expectations – Charles Dickens
On the Eve – Ivan Turgenev
Castle Richmond – Anthony Trollope
The Mill on the Floss – George Eliot
The Woman in White – Wilkie Collins
The Marble Faun – Nathaniel Hawthorne
Max Havelaar – Multatuli
A Tale of Two Cities – Charles Dickens
Oblomovka – Ivan Goncharov
Adam Bede – George Eliot
Madame Bovary – Gustave Flaubert
North and South – Elizabeth Gaskell
Hard Times – Charles Dickens
Walden – Henry David Thoreau
Bleak House – Charles Dickens
Villette – Charlotte Brontë
Cranford – Elizabeth Gaskell
Uncle Tom’s Cabin; or, Life Among the Lonely – Harriet Beecher Stowe
The Blithedale Romance – Nathaniel Hawthorne
The House of the Seven Gables – Nathaniel Hawthorne
Moby-Dick – Herman Melville
The Scarlet Letter – Nathaniel Hawthorne
David Copperfield – Charles Dickens
Shirley – Charlotte Brontë
Mary Barton – Elizabeth Gaskell
The Tenant of Wildfell Hall – Anne Brontë
Wuthering Heights – Emily Brontë
Agnes Grey – Anne Brontë
Jane Eyre – Charlotte Brontë
Vanity Fair – William Makepeace Thackeray
The Count of Monte-Cristo – Alexandre Dumas
La Reine Margot – Alexandre Dumas
The Three Musketeers – Alexandre Dumas
The Purloined Letter – Edgar Allan Poe
Martin Chuzzlewit – Charles Dickens
The Pit and the Pendulum – Edgar Allan Poe
Lost Illusions – Honoré de Balzac
A Christmas Carol – Charles Dickens
Dead Souls – Nikolay Gogol
The Charterhouse of Parma – Stendhal
The Fall of the House of Usher – Edgar Allan Poe
The Life and Adventures of Nicholas Nickleby – Charles Dickens
Oliver Twist – Charles Dickens
The Nose – Nikolay Gogol
Le Père Goriot – Honoré de Balzac
Eugénie Grandet – Honoré de Balzac
The Hunchback of Notre Dame – Victor Hugo
The Red and the Black – Stendhal
The Betrothed – Alessandro Manzoni
Last of the Mohicans – James Fenimore Cooper
The Private Memoirs and Confessions of a Justified Sinner – James Hogg
The Albigenses – Charles Robert Maturin
Melmoth the Wanderer – Charles Robert Maturin
The Monastery – Sir Walter Scott
Ivanhoe – Sir Walter Scott
Frankenstein – Mary Wollstonecraft Shelley
Northanger Abbey – Jane Austen
Persuasion – Jane Austen
Ormond – Maria Edgeworth
Rob Roy – Sir Walter Scott
Emma – Jane Austen
Mansfield Park – Jane Austen
Pride and Prejudice – Jane Austen
The Absentee – Maria Edgeworth
Sense and Sensibility – Jane Austen
Elective Affinities – Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
Castle Rackrent – Maria Edgeworth
1700s
Hyperion – Friedrich Hölderlin
The Nun – Denis Diderot
Camilla – Fanny Burney
The Monk – M.G. Lewis
Wilhelm Meister’s Apprenticeship – Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
The Mysteries of Udolpho – Ann Radcliffe
The Interesting Narrative – Olaudah Equiano
The Adventures of Caleb Williams – William Godwin
Justine – Marquis de Sade
Vathek – William Beckford
The 120 Days of Sodom – Marquis de Sade
Cecilia – Fanny Burney
Confessions – Jean-Jacques Rousseau
Dangerous Liaisons – Pierre Choderlos de Laclos
Reveries of a Solitary Walker – Jean-Jacques Rousseau
Evelina – Fanny Burney
The Sorrows of Young Werther – Johann Wolfgang von Goethe
Humphrey Clinker – Tobias George Smollett
The Man of Feeling – Henry Mackenzie
A Sentimental Journey – Laurence Sterne
Tristram Shandy – Laurence Sterne
The Vicar of Wakefield – Oliver Goldsmith
The Castle of Otranto – Horace Walpole
Émile; or, On Education – Jean-Jacques Rousseau
Rameau’s Nephew – Denis Diderot
Julie; or, the New Eloise – Jean-Jacques Rousseau
Rasselas – Samuel Johnson
Candide – Voltaire
The Female Quixote – Charlotte Lennox
Amelia – Henry Fielding
Peregrine Pickle – Tobias George Smollett
Fanny Hill – John Cleland
Tom Jones – Henry Fielding
Roderick Random – Tobias George Smollett
Clarissa – Samuel Richardson
Pamela – Samuel Richardson
Jacques the Fatalist – Denis Diderot
Memoirs of Martinus Scriblerus – J. Arbuthnot, J. Gay, T. Parnell, A. Pope, J. Swift
Joseph Andrews – Henry Fielding
A Modest Proposal – Jonathan Swift
Gulliver’s Travels – Jonathan Swift
Roxana – Daniel Defoe
Moll Flanders – Daniel Defoe
Love in Excess – Eliza Haywood
Robinson Crusoe – Daniel Defoe
A Tale of a Tub – Jonathan Swift
Pre-1700
Oroonoko – Aphra Behn
The Princess of Clèves – Marie-Madelaine Pioche de Lavergne, Comtesse de La Fayette
The Pilgrim’s Progress – John Bunyan
Don Quixote – Miguel de Cervantes Saavedra
The Unfortunate Traveller – Thomas Nashe
Euphues: The Anatomy of Wit – John Lyly
Gargantua and Pantagruel – Françoise Rabelais
The Thousand and One Nights – Anonymous
The Golden Ass – Lucius Apuleius
Aithiopika – Heliodorus
Chaireas and Kallirhoe – Chariton
Metamorphoses – Ovid
Aesop’s Fables – Aesopus

February 14, 2008

Extra

Well,... I try! Believe that i try to be a regular poster. But sit seems that i am not the perfect blooger. Sorry!

In order to compensate the lack of posts of last days i decided to post na extra message today.

Yesterday european markets rose 3 percent !!! Us were more moderate, but today us markets rose for the third straigth day, for the first time in 2008... Is this time to buy? I don't belive much on this short term rally. I think markets are giving us one more nice entrie point to go short.
In this strategy i would prefer to short stoxx 50, because:
- european markets are in bear territory while us are not;
- emerging markets are still in the ascendent trend;
- nikkey is getting strong support on 13000.

Regarding forex, my strongest view refers to eurusd where i expect to attend to a strong dolar valuation during the next 3 months. I think that us dolar will get higher valued, so we shall also assist to drop of gold prices, as also others commoditties prices. To see more details one my opinion on forex look for my post in the eurusd forum of http://www.dailyfx.com (posted 13/02/2008). I got surprised by the interesting level of the us retail sales known today. But this is just one more indicator, very volatile and often revised.

Some interesting rumours i would like to discuss with you: shall ebay and amazon merge? Why buffet said some days ago that is interested mostly in brasilian assets denominated in real and offered himself to buy US municipal bonds which are us dolar denominated? Is aeroports de paris being privatised in the medium term? Do you want to share your thougths with me?

February 13, 2008

Weekly review

After some days absent i'm back. In my last post i was expecting the ocurrence of the black tuesday. FED saw the same problems than me and balanced the bear sentiment with a bull tax cut of 75bps, na emergency cut.

Since then, another cut in the FED rate, and some extra indications about the slowdown of the american economy had inspired the movements of the markets.

From all the data that become available during these days I classify has most important the good ISM manufacture, the bad ISM services and the labour market data. From these indicators one can see that the services sector, which account to 90% of the US economy is loosing momentum

(note: i was interrupted when i was writting this post, one week ago, so now it makes no sense to write about market scenarios in the past, so this post ends here!)

January 23, 2008

Next week football results

Here are some new forecasts for the comming footbal week matches:

You can read the table using the following instructions:
- first column signal games where confidence on prediction is higher with an arrow '=>';
- second and third columns are the home and visitor teams names;
- Fourth column gives the most likely outcomes (1- wins home team, 2- wins visitors team, X- tied game);
- last columns tells you the predicted final score, which should be rounded to integer to make sense, because you will never get 1,5 goals. But a team with 0,8 will have more odds to score than other with only 0.6.


Chelsea - Reading 1 2.4 - 1.1
Werder Bremen - Bochum 1 2.4 - 1.1
Arsenal - Newcastle 1 2.1 - 0.8
Sevilha - Osasuna 1 2.0 - 0.8
Murcia - Levante 1 1.5 - 0.5
Racing - Sarago
ça 1 1.6 - 0.6
Sampdoria - Siena 1 1.9 - 0.9
Vizela - Estoril 1 1.9 - 1.0
Atalanta - Reggina 1 1.9 - 1.0
Marítimo - Boavista 1 1.4 - 0.5
Catania - Parma 1 1.4 - 0.6
Real Madrid - Villarreal 1 2.2 - 1.3
Schalke 04 - Estugarda 1 1.8 - 1.0
Bolton - Fulham 1 1.7 - 0.8
Espanyol - Betis 1 1.3 - 0.5
Everton - Tottenham 1 1.8 - 1.0
AS Roma - Palermo 1 2.3 - 1.5
Manchester United - Portsmouth 1 1.8 - 1.0
Leixões - P. Ferreira 1 1.5 - 0.8
Aves - Beira-Mar 1 1.6 - 1.0
Karlsruhe - Nuremberga 1 1.6 - 1.1
Udinese - Inter 2 1.1 - 1.7
Lens - Estrasburgo 1 1.5 - 0.9
Marselha - Caen 1 1.2 - 0.7
Portimonense - Rio Ave 2 1.1 - 1.7
Hansa Rostock - Bayern Munique 2 0.9 - 1.4
Sp. Braga - Belenenses 1 1.3 - 0.8
Deportivo - Valladolid 2 1.3 - 1.8
Hamburgo - Hannover 96 1 1.5 - 1.0
Gil Vicente - Trofense 1X 1.2 - 0.8
Santa Clara - Penafiel 1X 1.3 - 0.9
Hertha Berlim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1X 1.5 - 1.1
Metz - Rennes 2X 0.9 - 1.4
Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburgo 1X 1.9 - 1.5
Saint Étienne - Lyon 1X 1.4 - 1.0
Middlesbrough - Wigan 1X 1.6 - 1.2
Sunderland - Birmingham 1X 1.4 - 1.0
Recreativo - Getafe 1X 1.3 - 0.9
Derby - Manchester City 2X 1.0 - 1.4
Sporting - FC Porto 1X 1.5 - 1.2
Milan - Génova 1X 1.1 - 0.8
Torino - Lazio 1X 1.3 - 1.0
Duisburgo - Borussia Dortmund 1X 1.6 - 1.4
West Ham - Liverpool 2X 1.0 - 1.2
Valencia - Almería 2X 1.3 - 1.5
Livorno - Juventus 2X 1.3 - 1.5
Naval - E. Amadora 1X 1.1 - 0.9
Auxerre - Nancy 1X 1.0 - 0.9
Athletic - Barcelona 2X 0.9 - 1.1
Cagliari - Nápoles 2X 1.4 - 1.6
Toulouse - Nice 1X 0.8 - 0.7
Fátima - Varzim 1X 1.4 - 1.2
Lorient - Bordéus 1X 1.0 - 0.9
Gondomar - Feirense 1X 0.9 - 0.8
Aston Villa - Blackburn 1X 1.6 - 1.4
Maiorca - Atlético 2X 1.1 - 1.2
Empoli - Fiorentina 2X 0.9 - 1.1
Lille - Paris SG 2X 0.8 - 0.9
Le Mans - Monaco 1X 1.1 - 1.0
Nacional - V. Setúbal 1X 0.9 - 0.9
Sochaux - Valenciennes 1X 1.1 - 1.0
Freamunde - Olhanense 2X 1.1 - 1.1
V. Guimarães - Benfica 2X 0.9 - 1.0
U. Leiria - Académica X 1.0 - 1.0
Energie Cottbus - Bayer Leverkusen X 1.4 - 1.4

I hope you enjoy these results. Off course, you shall remember that these are only predictions and i cannot give any warranty about the results.

I will not accept any responsability about the use of this information, because it's posted here only as a curiosity.


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