December 31, 2007

Next week football result forecasts

As I promised, here I'm posting again. My previous posts was produced yesterday, but only posted today due to technicall problems!

(after all these months without posting I forgot my 'secret word' that enable me to post by email. Now I fixed it!)

One of the hobbies I have is trying to predict the future, not by guessing, but using quantitaive data analytics. So, I will use this blog to let you know my predictions. I start today with my quantitative forecasts of next weekend football matches.

You can read the table using the following instructions:
- first column signal games where confidence on prediction is higher with an arrow '=>';
- second and third columns are the home and visitor teams names;
- Fourth column gives the most likely outcomes (1- wins home team, 2- wins visitors team, X- tied game);
- last columns tells you the predicted final score, which should be rounded to integer to make sense, because you will never get 1,5 goals. But a team with 0,8 will have more odds to score than other with only 0.6.


Marítimo - Leixões 1 1.2 - 0.6
P. Ferreira - U. Leiria 1X 1.2 - 1.0
Boavista - Sporting X 1.1 - 1.1
Académica - Sp. Braga 1X 1.1 - 1.1
=> FC Porto - Naval 1 1.9 - 0.4
Belenenses - Nacional 1X 0.9 - 0.6
E. Amadora - V. Guimarães 1X 1.4 - 1.1
V. Setúbal - Benfica 1X 1.4 - 1.2
Freamunde - Santa Clara 1X 1.8 - 1.5
Penafiel - Aves 1X 1.2 - 1.1
Olhanense - Vizela 2X 0.8 - 1.1
Beira-Mar - Gil Vicente 1X 1.2 - 1.1
Estoril - Fátima 1 1.6 - 0.9
Trofense - Portimonense 1 1.3 - 0.4
Varzim - Gondomar 1 1.2 - 0.4
Rio Ave - Feirense 1 1.2 - 0.6
Arsenal - West Ham 1X 1.5 - 1.1
Fulham - Chelsea 2X 1.1 - 1.4
Aston Villa - Tottenham 1X 1.5 - 1.2
=> Liverpool - Wigan 1 2.3 - 0.7
=> Bolton - Derby 1 2.0 - 0.6
Newcastle - Everton 2X 1.4 - 1.4
=> Manchester United - Birmingham 1 2.1 - 0.7
Reading - Portsmouth 2X 1.3 - 1.6
Middlesbrough - Manchester City 1X 1.4 - 1.3
Blackburn - Sunderland 1 1.9 - 1.1
=> Real Madrid - Saragoça 1 2.3 - 0.9
Deportivo - Atlético 2 0.8 - 1.3
Espanyol - Villarreal 1X 1.3 - 1.3
=> Sevilha - Betis 1 1.9 - 0.8
Getafe - Valladolid 1 1.7 - 1.1
Valencia - Levante 1X 1.7 - 1.3
Maiorca - Barcelona 1X 1.4 - 1.3
Murcia - Osasuna 1X 1.1 - 0.8
Recreativo - Almería 1X 1.2 - 0.9
Racing - Athletic 1X 1.3 - 0.8
Lazio - Génova 1X 1.2 - 1.0
Parma - Fiorentina 1X 1.2 - 1.2
Siena - Inter 2 0.9 - 1.4
Empoli - Reggina 1 1.6 - 0.8
Milan - Nápoles 2X 1.2 - 1.2
Torino - Livorno 1X 1.4 - 1.0
Cagliari - Udinese 2X 0.8 - 1.2
Catania - Juventus 1X 1.4 - 1.1
Atalanta - AS Roma 2X 1.3 - 1.4
Sampdoria - Palermo 1 2.0 - 1.3
Schalke 04 - Estugarda 1 1.8 - 1.0
Hansa Rostock - Bayern Munique 2 0.9 - 1.4
Energie Cottbus - Bayer Leverkusen X 1.4 - 1.4
=> Werder Bremen - Bochum 1 2.4 - 1.1
Hamburgo - Hannover 96 1 1.5 - 1.0
Hertha Berlim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1X 1.5 - 1.1
Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburgo 1X 1.9 - 1.5
Karlsruhe - Nuremberga 1 1.6 - 1.1
Duisburgo - Borussia Dortmund 1X 1.6 - 1.4
=> Valenciennes - Saint Étienne 1 1.9 - 0.6
Bordéus - Auxerre 1 2.1 - 1.1
Le Mans - Sochaux 1X 1.2 - 0.9
Monaco - Lorient 1X 1.4 - 0.9
Estrasburgo - Nice 1 1.1 - 0.5
Lyon - Toulouse 1 1.8 - 1.0
Paris SG - Lens 2X 1.1 - 1.1
Lille - Metz 1 1.4 - 0.6
Caen - Nancy 1X 1.3 - 1.0
Rennes - Marselha 1X 1.2 - 1.1

I hope you enjoy these results. Off course, you shall remember that these are only predictions and i cannot give any warranty about the results.

I will not accept any responsability about the use of this information, because it's posted here only as a curiosity.

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