inspiration

To get richer work, not harder, but better.

Next week football result forecasts

As I promised, here I'm posting again. My previous posts was produced yesterday, but only posted today due to technicall problems!

(after all these months without posting I forgot my 'secret word' that enable me to post by email. Now I fixed it!)

One of the hobbies I have is trying to predict the future, not by guessing, but using quantitaive data analytics. So, I will use this blog to let you know my predictions. I start today with my quantitative forecasts of next weekend football matches.

You can read the table using the following instructions:
- first column signal games where confidence on prediction is higher with an arrow '=>';
- second and third columns are the home and visitor teams names;
- Fourth column gives the most likely outcomes (1- wins home team, 2- wins visitors team, X- tied game);
- last columns tells you the predicted final score, which should be rounded to integer to make sense, because you will never get 1,5 goals. But a team with 0,8 will have more odds to score than other with only 0.6.

Marítimo - Leixões 1 1.2 - 0.6
P. Ferreira - U. Leiria 1X 1.2 - 1.0
Boavista - Sporting X 1.1 - 1.1
Académica - Sp. Braga 1X 1.1 - 1.1
=> FC Porto - Naval 1 1.9 - 0.4
Belenenses - Nacional 1X 0.9 - 0.6
E. Amadora - V. Guimarães 1X 1.4 - 1.1
V. Setúbal - Benfica 1X 1.4 - 1.2
Freamunde - Santa Clara 1X 1.8 - 1.5
Penafiel - Aves 1X 1.2 - 1.1
Olhanense - Vizela 2X 0.8 - 1.1
Beira-Mar - Gil Vicente 1X 1.2 - 1.1
Estoril - Fátima 1 1.6 - 0.9
Trofense - Portimonense 1 1.3 - 0.4
Varzim - Gondomar 1 1.2 - 0.4
Rio Ave - Feirense 1 1.2 - 0.6
Arsenal - West Ham 1X 1.5 - 1.1
Fulham - Chelsea 2X 1.1 - 1.4
Aston Villa - Tottenham 1X 1.5 - 1.2
=> Liverpool - Wigan 1 2.3 - 0.7
=> Bolton - Derby 1 2.0 - 0.6
Newcastle - Everton 2X 1.4 - 1.4
=> Manchester United - Birmingham 1 2.1 - 0.7
Reading - Portsmouth 2X 1.3 - 1.6
Middlesbrough - Manchester City 1X 1.4 - 1.3
Blackburn - Sunderland 1 1.9 - 1.1
=> Real Madrid - Saragoça 1 2.3 - 0.9
Deportivo - Atlético 2 0.8 - 1.3
Espanyol - Villarreal 1X 1.3 - 1.3
=> Sevilha - Betis 1 1.9 - 0.8
Getafe - Valladolid 1 1.7 - 1.1
Valencia - Levante 1X 1.7 - 1.3
Maiorca - Barcelona 1X 1.4 - 1.3
Murcia - Osasuna 1X 1.1 - 0.8
Recreativo - Almería 1X 1.2 - 0.9
Racing - Athletic 1X 1.3 - 0.8
Lazio - Génova 1X 1.2 - 1.0
Parma - Fiorentina 1X 1.2 - 1.2
Siena - Inter 2 0.9 - 1.4
Empoli - Reggina 1 1.6 - 0.8
Milan - Nápoles 2X 1.2 - 1.2
Torino - Livorno 1X 1.4 - 1.0
Cagliari - Udinese 2X 0.8 - 1.2
Catania - Juventus 1X 1.4 - 1.1
Atalanta - AS Roma 2X 1.3 - 1.4
Sampdoria - Palermo 1 2.0 - 1.3
Schalke 04 - Estugarda 1 1.8 - 1.0
Hansa Rostock - Bayern Munique 2 0.9 - 1.4
Energie Cottbus - Bayer Leverkusen X 1.4 - 1.4
=> Werder Bremen - Bochum 1 2.4 - 1.1
Hamburgo - Hannover 96 1 1.5 - 1.0
Hertha Berlim - Eintracht Frankfurt 1X 1.5 - 1.1
Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburgo 1X 1.9 - 1.5
Karlsruhe - Nuremberga 1 1.6 - 1.1
Duisburgo - Borussia Dortmund 1X 1.6 - 1.4
=> Valenciennes - Saint Étienne 1 1.9 - 0.6
Bordéus - Auxerre 1 2.1 - 1.1
Le Mans - Sochaux 1X 1.2 - 0.9
Monaco - Lorient 1X 1.4 - 0.9
Estrasburgo - Nice 1 1.1 - 0.5
Lyon - Toulouse 1 1.8 - 1.0
Paris SG - Lens 2X 1.1 - 1.1
Lille - Metz 1 1.4 - 0.6
Caen - Nancy 1X 1.3 - 1.0
Rennes - Marselha 1X 1.2 - 1.1

I hope you enjoy these results. Off course, you shall remember that these are only predictions and i cannot give any warranty about the results.

I will not accept any responsability about the use of this information, because it's posted here only as a curiosity.

I'm back!

Hello world!
In this time of the year everybody looks backward and evalute what gone well or wrong. Then, its time to look forward and plan the next year.
I'm in the middle of the process. So, i'm respecting the schedulle, as today is the 30th of december 2007. But i already have some ideias about what I wish to perform during the next 12 months.
My first iniciative will be to revigorate this blog, i created in the beggining of 2007, but only updated it 2 or 3 times.
So, during 2008 you shall find here my thoughts about everything, updated daily.
Of course, most os the topics i shall cover will be mainly related to the fields I like more, like economics, financial markets, gadgets, books and arts. All these will be updated daily, in english (or some language similar to english) :)
I expect to produce one interesting blog. I will feel successful if I start have some regular visitors, specially if i get some feedback. My main motivation is to try to exchange ideas with people with similar interests (but with different views/opinions). I will be happy also to get some corrections on my grammar!
The countdown is almost starting! I wish you a happy and successful 2008! With somw luck, it will be the year we start exchange some thoughts about ... Life!
Tomorrow, if not earlier, i' ll be back!